[Ips-wsgr] IPS Weekly Solar and Geophysical Report (04 April 14) issued 0055 UT on 04 Apr 2014

rwc rwc at ips.gov.au
Fri Apr 4 11:55:43 EST 2014


SUBJ: IPS WEEKLY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT 
ISSUED ON 04 APRIL 2014, BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES,
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE

1. SUMMARY (28 MARCH - 03 APRIL)
Date     28    29    30    31    01    02    03
10cm    146   143   148   152   153   155   153
AFr       9     9     5     8     5     6 (  6)
Aaus      5     5     2     5     2     2 (  5)
T       142   145   140   138   143   130   131

Solar:        Solar flare activity
Geomagnetic:  Geomagnetic activity observed for Australian region.
Frequencies:  Australian ionospheric F2 critical frequencies

28 Mar 
Solar:        moderate, with an M2.0 at 1919UT, and an M2.6 at 
              2351UT
Geomagnetic:  Quiet to Unsettled
Frequencies:  
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 25% during local day.
      Enhanced by 45% during local night.
      Enhanced by 20% after local dawn.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Enhanced by 30% during local night.
      Enhanced by 25% after local dawn.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 30% during local day.
      Enhanced by 30% during local night.
      Enhanced by 40% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Enhanced by 25% over the UT day.

29 Mar 
Solar:        high, with an M2.6 at 2351UT, and an X1.0 at 1748UT
Geomagnetic:  Quiet
Frequencies:  
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      No data available during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 20% during local day.
      Enhanced by 40% during local night.
      Enhanced by 20% after local dawn.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 35% during local day.
      Enhanced by 35% during local night.
      Enhanced by 40% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

30 Mar 
Solar:        low
Geomagnetic:  Quiet
Frequencies:  
   Northern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Enhanced by 35% during local night.
      Enhanced by 30% after local dawn.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 30% during local day.
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
      Enhanced by 35% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Enhanced by 30% over the UT day.

31 Mar 
Solar:        moderate, with an M1.4 at 0804UT
Geomagnetic:  Quiet to Unsettled
Frequencies:  
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 30% during local night.
      Enhanced by 35% after local dawn.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 30% during local day.
      Enhanced by 35% during local night.
      Enhanced by 40% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Enhanced by 30% over the UT day.

01 Apr 
Solar:        low
Geomagnetic:  Quiet
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data available during local day.
      No data available during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 30% during local day.
      Enhanced by 40% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
      Enhanced by 25% after local dawn.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 25% during local day.
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
      Enhanced by 25% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Enhanced by 25% over the UT day.

02 Apr 
Solar:        high, with an M6.5 at 1405UT
Geomagnetic:  Quiet
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Enhanced by 20% during local day.
      Enhanced by 35% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Enhanced by 70% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 20% during local day.
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
      Enhanced by 25% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Enhanced by 25% over the UT day.

03 Apr 
Solar:        low
Geomagnetic:  Quiet
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Enhanced by 20% during local day.
      Enhanced by 45% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 30% during local day.
      Enhanced by 65% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Enhanced by 30% over the UT day.

 
2. FORECAST (04 APRIL - 10 APRIL)
Solar: 
Moderate activity early in week.

Geomagnetic:  
Minor storm on 5 Apr.  Quiet to unsettled on other days.

Frequencies:  
Slightly depressed conditions on 5-6 April, relative to current enhanced
conditions.
MUFs will likely remained enhanced based on predicted monthly values on other
days.


For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

IPS Radio and Space Services        email: asfc at ips.gov.au
PO Box 1386                         WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au 
tel: +61 2 9213 8010                fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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