[Ips-wsgr] IPS Weekly Solar and Geophysical Report (07 October 11)

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS WEEKLY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT 
ISSUED ON 07 OCTOBER 2011, BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES,
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE

1. SUMMARY (30 SEPTEMBER - 06 OCTOBER)
Date     30    01    02    03    04    05    06
10cm    138   137   131   129   130   127   124
AFr       5    12     7     3     4    12 (  5)
Aaus      7     9    10     5     7    15 (  9)
T        66    84    85    77    80    82    80

Solar:        Solar flare activity
Geomagnetic:  Geomagnetic activity observed for Australian region.
Frequencies:  Australian ionospheric F2 critical frequencies

30 Sep 
Solar:        moderate, with an   M1.0 at 1907UT 
Geomagnetic:  Quiet to Unsettled 
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
      No data 03-06UT.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
      Evening depressions to 25%.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
      Briefly depressed before local dawn.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values,
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

01 Oct 
Solar:        moderate, with an   M1.2 at 1002UT 
Geomagnetic:  Quiet to Unsettled 
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Enhanced by 20% during local day,
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values,
      No data after 21UT.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day,
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

02 Oct 
Solar:        moderate, with an   M3.9 at 0050UT , and an   M1.3 at
1723UT
Geomagnetic:  Quiet to Active 
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 25% during local day,
      Enhanced by 40% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
      Enhanced by 20% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

03 Oct 
Solar:        low
Geomagnetic:  Quiet 
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

04 Oct 
Solar:        low
Geomagnetic:  Mostly Quiet with some Unsettled periods. 
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values,
      Enhanced by 20% after local dawn.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

05 Oct 
Solar:        low
Geomagnetic:  Mostly Unsettled to Active with some Minor Storm 
              periods 
A weak (14nT) impulse was observed in the IPS magnetometer data at
0737UT on 05 Oct.
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values,
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Enhanced by 25% over the UT day.

06 Oct 
Solar:        low
Geomagnetic:  Mostly Quiet to Unsettled with isolated Active 
              periods. 
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day,
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
      Enhanced by 20% after local dawn.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

 
2. FORECAST (07 OCTOBER - 13 OCTOBER)
Solar: 
Low

Geomagnetic:  
Quiet to unsettled conditions.

Frequencies:  
MUFs near predicted monthly values.

For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au/1/2/1.

IPS Radio and Space Services        email: asfc at ips.gov.au
PO Box 1386                         WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au 
tel: +61 2 9213 8010                fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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