[Ips-wsgr] IPS Weekly Solar and Geophysical Report (12 November 10)

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS WEEKLY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT 
ISSUED ON 12 NOVEMBER 2010, BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES,
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE

1. SUMMARY (05 NOVEMBER - 11 NOVEMBER)
Date     05    06    07    08    09    10    11
10cm     83    89    85    84    84    86    85
AFr       2     1     1     2     1     3 ( 10)
Aaus      4     4     4     6     3     5 ( 12)
T        12    11    20    24    19    23    32

Solar:        Solar flare activity
Geomagnetic:  Geomagnetic activity observed for Australian region.
Frequencies:  Australian ionospheric F2 critical frequencies

05 Nov 
Solar: Moderate, with an M1.6 at 2359UT, and an M1.0 at 1331UT
Geomagnetic: Quiet 
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Niue Island Region:
      Depressed by 15% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
      Depressed by 20% after local dawn.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 15% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
      Depressed by 20% after local dawn.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Depressed by 20% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

06 Nov 
Solar: High, with an M5.4 at 1536UT 
Geomagnetic: Quiet 
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Depressed by 15% during local night.
      Depressed by 20% after local dawn.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
      Depressed by 25% after local dawn.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

07 Nov 
Solar: Low
Geomagnetic: Quiet 
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Niue Island Region:
      Depressed by 15% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
      Depressed by 25% after local dawn.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
      Depressed by 20% after local dawn.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

08 Nov 
Solar: Very low
Geomagnetic: Quiet to unsettled 
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values with depressions 15-35%
      01-03 and 14-18 UT.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values with depressions 15-35%
      03, 13-17 and 21 UT.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values. Depressions 15-30%
      00-02 and 23 UT at Darwin and 23 UT at Townsville.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values. Depressions to 25%
      02-06 UT at Norfolk Is.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values with depressions to 25%
      12, 14-17 UT at Macquarie Is.

09 Nov 
Solar: Very low
Geomagnetic: Quiet 
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values with depressions to 25%
      02-05 UT. No data 13-21 UT.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values with depressions to 25%
      18-22 UT.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values. Depressions to 30%
      00-01, 15-17 and 23 UT at Darwin and 00-01 and 22-23 UT
      at Townsville.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values. Depressions to 20%
      00-01, 17-21 and 23 UT at Brisbane and 00-06 UT at
      Norfolk Is.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values with depressions to 30%
      13-17 UT at Macquarie Is. and to 20% 10-11 UT at Casey.

10 Nov 
Solar: Very low
Geomagnetic: Quiet 
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly with depressions to 25%, 03-05
      and 15-20 UT.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values with depressions to 30%,
      00-03 and 22-23 UT at Darwin and 00, 19 and 21-23 UT
      at Townsville. Enhancements to 50% 10-14 UT at Darwin.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values with depressions to 20%
      at Perth, 01-09 UT and 21-23 UT at Norfolk Is. Spread
      F at Hobart 10-19 UT.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values with depressions to 25%,
      15-17 UT at Macquarie Is. and 30% 22-23 UT at Scott
      Base.

11 Nov 
Solar: Low
Geomagnetic: Quiet to unsettled with isolated active levels 
   at high latitudes. 
Frequencies:  
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values with depressions to 25%
      18-21 UT.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values with depressions to 25%
      19-20 UT at Darwin and to 35% 19-23 UT at Townsville.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values with depressions to 30%
      19-23 UT at Brisbane and Norfolk Is. and 15-16 and 23
      UT at Hobart. Night spread F observed at Hobart 14-18 UT.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values with depressions to 30%
      mostly 06-22 UT.

 
2. FORECAST (12 NOVEMBER - 18 NOVEMBER)
Solar: Low, possible moderate activity.

Geomagnetic: Quiet to unsettled. Active levels probable 13 to
   15 Nov. Minor storm at high latitudes 13 to 15 Nov.

Frequencies: Near predicted monthly values to 30% depressed 12
   to 18 Nov.

For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au/1/2/1.

IPS Radio and Space Services        email: asfc at ips.gov.au
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Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au 
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