[Ips-wsgr] IPS Weekly Solar and Geophysical Report (19 January 07)

rwc rwc at ips.gov.au
Fri Jan 19 12:38:00 EST 2007


SUBJ: IPS WEEKLY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT 
ISSUED ON 19 JANUARY 2007, BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES,
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE

1. SUMMARY (12 JANUARY - 18 JANUARY)
Date     12    13    14    15    16    17    18
10cm     84    81    82    82    79    78    77
AFr       2     0     2    14     9    15 ( 12)
Aaus      6     2     5    14    13    14 ( 15)
T        26    17    21    12    30    22    11

Solar:        Solar flare activity
Geomagnetic:  Geomagnetic activity observed for Australian Region.
Frequencies:  Australian Ionospheric F2 critical frequencies

12 Jan 
Solar:        low
Geomagnetic:  Quiet 
Frequencies:  
   Equatorial PNG/Niue Region:
     Near predicted monthly values.
  Northern Australian Region:
     Near predicted monthly values.
  Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
     Mostly near predicted monthly values,
  Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
     Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

13 Jan 
Solar:        very low
Geomagnetic:  Quiet 
Frequencies:  
   Equatorial PNG/Niue Region:
     Near predicted monthly values.
  Northern Australian Region:
     Near predicted monthly values during local day,
     Depressed by 20% during local night.
  Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
     Near predicted monthly values.
  Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
     Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

14 Jan 
Solar:        very low
Geomagnetic:  Quiet 
Frequencies:  
slightly above predicted monthly values

15 Jan 
Solar:        low
Geomagnetic:  Quiet to Active 
Frequencies:  
slightly below predicted monthly values

16 Jan 
Solar:        low
Geomagnetic:  Quiet to Active 
Frequencies:  
   Equatorial PNG/Niue Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced by 30% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day,
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

17 Jan 
Solar:        very low
Geomagnetic:  Quiet to Unsettled 
Frequencies:  
   Equatorial PNG/Niue Region:
     Near predicted monthly values during local day,
     Enhanced by 30% during local night.
  Northern Australian Region:
     Enhanced by 20% during local day,
     Near predicted monthly values during local night.
  Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
     Near predicted monthly values.
  Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
     Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

18 Jan 
Solar:        very low
Geomagnetic:  Quiet to Active 
Frequencies:  
   Equatorial PNG/Niue Region:
     Near predicted monthly values during local day,
     Enhanced by 25% during local night.
  Northern Australian Region:
     Enhanced by 15% during local day,
     Near predicted monthly values during local night.
  Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
     Depressed by 15% during local day,
     Depressed by 20% during local night.
  Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
     Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

COMMENT: Active geomagnetic periods observed 15-18 Jan due 
to coronal hole solar wind stream.
 
2. FORECAST (19 JANUARY - 25 JANUARY)
Solar: 
Low

Geomagnetic:  
Initially unsettled conditions, then quiet.

Frequencies:  
MUFs near predicted monthly values.

COMMENT: Isolated active periods possible 19-20 Jan.

For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, goto
http://www.ips.gov.au/1/2/1.

IPS Radio and Space Services        email: asfc at ips.gov.au
PO Box 1386                         WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au 
tel: +61 2 9213 8010                fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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