[Ips-wsgr] IPS Weekly Solar and Geophysical Report (13 October 06)

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS WEEKLY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT 
ISSUED ON 13 OCTOBER 2006, BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES,
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE

1. SUMMARY (06 OCTOBER - 12 OCTOBER)
Date     06    07    08    09    10    11    12
10cm     76    77    75    75    75    74    74
AFr       2     7     6     3     0     2 (  3)
Aaus      3     8     6     3     3     4 (  5)
T        18    14    15     8     8    13    10

Solar:        Solar flare activity
Geomagnetic:  Geomagnetic activity observed for Australian Region.
Frequencies:  Australian Ionospheric F2 critical frequencies

06 Oct 
Solar:        very low
Geomagnetic:  Quiet 

Frequencies:  
   Equatorial PNG/Niue Region:
     Near predicted monthly values.
  Northern Australian Region:
     Near predicted monthly values.
  Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
     Near predicted monthly values during local day,
     Enhanced by 15% during local night.
  Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
     Enhanced by 15% over the UT day.

07 Oct 
Solar:        very low
Geomagnetic:  Quiet to Active 

Frequencies:  
   Equatorial PNG/Niue Region:
     Near predicted monthly values.
  Northern Australian Region:
     Near predicted monthly values.
  Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
     Near predicted monthly values.
  Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
     Enhanced by 20% over the UT day.

08 Oct 
Solar:        very low
Geomagnetic:  Quiet to Unsettled 

Frequencies:  
   Equatorial PNG/Niue Region:
      Near predicted monthly values apart from some
      depressions to 30% 11-16 UT.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values.

09 Oct 
Solar:        very low
Geomagnetic:  Quiet 

Frequencies:  
near predicted monthly values

10 Oct 
Solar:        very low
Geomagnetic:  Quiet 

Frequencies:  
near predicted monthly values

11 Oct 
Solar:        very low
Geomagnetic:  Quiet 

Frequencies:  
   Equatorial PNG/Niue Region:
      Depressed by 20% during local day,
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      No data available during local day,
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

12 Oct 
Solar:        very low
Geomagnetic:  Quiet 

Frequencies:  
   Equatorial PNG/Niue Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Depressed by 25% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 15% during local day,
      Depressed by 15% during local night.
      Depressed by 20% after local dawn.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

 
2. FORECAST (13 OCTOBER - 19 OCTOBER)
Solar: 
Very Low solar conditions are expected as there are currently no
active regions on disk or any significant returning regions
expected.


Geomagnetic:  
Mostly Quiet to Unsettled conditions for this forecast period. 
Chance of isolated Active periods on 14Oct and 15Oct from
a recurrent coronal hole.

Frequencies:  
MUFs near predicted monthly values. No SWf's expected. 

For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, goto
http://www.ips.gov.au/1/2/1.

IPS Radio and Space Services        email: asfc at ips.gov.au
PO Box 1386                         WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au 
tel: +61 2 9213 8010                fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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