[Ips-wsgr] IPS Weekly Solar and Geophysical Report (07 July 06)

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS WEEKLY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT 
ISSUED ON 07 JULY 2006, BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES,
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE

1. SUMMARY (30 JUNE - 06 JULY)
Date     30    01    02    03    04    05    06
10cm     86    86    87    86    88    85    85
AFr       7     3     1     2    11    18 ( 12)
Aaus      7     4     2     2     8    13 (  7)
T        18    35    18    17    27    36    26

Solar:        Solar flare activity
Geomagnetic:  Geomagnetic activity observed for Australian Region.
Frequencies:  Australian Ionospheric F2 critical frequencies

30 Jun 
Solar:        very low
Geomagnetic:  Quiet to Unsettled 

Frequencies:  
   Equatorial PNG/Niue Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Enhanced by up to 35% over the UT day.

01 Jul 
Solar:        very low
Geomagnetic:  Quiet 

Frequencies:  
   Equatorial PNG/Niue Region:
     Enhanced by 20% during local day,
     Near predicted monthly values during local night.
  Northern Australian Region:
     Near predicted monthly values during local day,
     Enhanced by 20% during local night.
  Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
     Near predicted monthly values during local day,
     Enhanced by 25% during local night.
  Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
     Enhanced by 60% over the UT day.

02 Jul 
Solar:        very low
Geomagnetic:  Quiet 

Frequencies:  
   Equatorial PNG/Niue Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 15% during local day,
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Enhanced by up to 80% over the UT day.

03 Jul 
Solar:        low
Geomagnetic:  Quiet 

Frequencies:  
   Equatorial PNG/Niue Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Enhanced by 50% over the UT day.

04 Jul 
Solar:        low
Geomagnetic:  Quiet to Unsettled 

Frequencies:  
   Equatorial PNG/Niue Region:
      Depressed by 15% during local day,
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Variable enhancements/depressions during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Enhanced by up to 60% over the UT day.

05 Jul 
Solar:        low
Geomagnetic:  Quiet to Active 

Frequencies:  
   Equatorial PNG/Niue Region:
     Near predicted monthly values.
  Northern Australian Region:
     Near predicted monthly values during local day,
     Enhanced by 15% during local night.
  Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
     Near predicted monthly values during local day,
     Enhanced by 40% during local night.
  Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
     Enhanced by 115% over the UT day.

06 Jul 
Solar:        moderate, with an   M2.5 at 0838UT 
Geomagnetic:  Quiet to Unsettled 

Frequencies:  
   Equatorial PNG/Niue Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values,
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced by 35% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Enhanced by 45% over the UT day.

 
2. FORECAST (07 JULY - 13 JULY)
Solar: 
Moderate activity is possible early in week with chance of
M-class flares while region 898 remains on disk.

Geomagnetic:  
Active conditions expected for 09Jul-10Jul with the anticipated 
arrival of a glancing blow solar wind shock. Mostly Quiet to 
Unsettled conditions otherwise.

Frequencies:  
Briefly depressed after local dawn 9 to 12 Jul
MUFs near predicted monthly values on other days.

For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, goto
http://www.ips.gov.au/1/2/1.

IPS Radio and Space Services        email: asfc at ips.gov.au
PO Box 1386                         WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au 
tel: +61 2 9213 8010                fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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