[Ips-wsgr] IPS Weekly Solar and Geophysical Report (04 November 05)

rwc rwc at ips.gov.au
Fri Nov 4 12:04:27 EST 2005


SUBJ: IPS WEEKLY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT 
ISSUED ON 04 NOVEMBER 2005, BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES,
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE

1. SUMMARY (28 OCTOBER - 03 NOVEMBER)
Date     28    29    30    31    01    02    03
10cm     73    74    76    78    77    78    77
AFr       4     1     3     6     7     5 ( 17)
Aaus      5     3     5    12     7     7 ( 19)
T        -0    11     2     6    -1    20    14

Solar:        Solar flare activity
Geomagnetic:  Geomagnetic activity observed for Australian Region.
Frequencies:  Australian Ionospheric F2 critical frequencies

28 Oct 
Solar:        very low
Geomagnetic:  Quiet to Unsettled 

Frequencies:  
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Depressed by 15-25% over the UT day.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 25% over the UT day. 
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Depressed by 15% during local day,
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Depressed by 15% over the UT day.

29 Oct 
Solar:        very low
Geomagnetic:  Quiet 

Frequencies:  
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Depressed by 15% during local day,
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 25% during local day,
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day
      with periods of degradations.

30 Oct 
Solar:        very low
Geomagnetic:  Quiet 

Frequencies:  
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 20% over the UT day.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values,
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day
      with periods of degradations. 

31 Oct 
Solar:        very low
Geomagnetic:  Quiet to Active 

Frequencies:  
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Depressed by 20%-35% over the UT day.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 15% during local day,
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Depressed by 20% during local day,
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
      Depressed by 20% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Depressed by 15% over the UT day with periods of
      degradations.

01 Nov 
Solar:        very low
Geomagnetic:  Quiet to Unsettled 

Frequencies:  
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Depressed by 30% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 20-25% over the UT day.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Depressed by 25-30% over the UT day. 
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Depressed by 20% over the UT day.

02 Nov 
Solar:        very low
Geomagnetic:  Quiet to active levels. 

Frequencies:  
near predicted monthly values

03 Nov 
Solar:        very low
Geomagnetic:  Unsettled to active levels. 

Frequencies:  
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values,
      Depressed by 20% after local dawn.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values,
      Depressed by 20% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Depressed by 15% over the UT day.

 
2. FORECAST (04 NOVEMBER - 10 NOVEMBER)
Solar: 
Very Low

Geomagnetic:  
Unsettled to active with isolated minor storm levels on 4-5 Nov.
quiet to unsettled on other days.

Frequencies:  
depressed 15-25% on 4-5 Nov
MUFs near predicted monthly values on other days.

PLEASE NOTE: 
At this time of the solar cycle, space weather conditions
are frequently determined by short timescale events, not
able to be forecasted a week in advance.

For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, goto
http://www.ips.gov.au/1/2/1.

IPS Radio and Space Services        email: asfc at ips.gov.au
PO Box 1386                         WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au 
tel: +61 2 9213 8010                fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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