[Ips-wsgr] IPS Weekly Solar and Geophysical Report (05 April 02)

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS WEEKLY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT 
ISSUED ON 05 APRIL 2002, BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES,
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE

1. SUMMARY (29 MARCH - 04 APRIL)
Date     29    30    31    01    02    03    04
10cm    181   189   204   207   206   209   216
AFr       6    18    12    11    10    12 (  8)
Aaus      4    19    16    10    10    12 (  6)
T       161   167   162   161   156   147   158

Solar:        Solar flare activity
Geomagnetic:  Geomagnetic activity observed for Australian Region.
Frequencies:  Australian Ionospheric F2 critical frequencies

29 Mar 
Solar:        very low
Geomagnetic:  Quiet 

Frequencies:  
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      No data available,
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
      Enhanced by 25% after local dawn.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 20% during local day,
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
      Enhanced by 35% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Enhanced by 65% over the UT day.


30 Mar 
Solar:        moderate, with an M3/1N at 1301UT
Geomagnetic:  Quiet to Minor Storm 

Frequencies:  
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      No data.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 20-30%.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 20-35%.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Enhanced by 15-30% over the UT day.


31 Mar 
Solar:        very low
Geomagnetic:  Unsettled to Active 

Frequencies:  
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      No data available during local day,
      No data available during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 25% during local day,
      Enhanced by 30% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.


01 Apr 
Solar:        very low
Geomagnetic:  Quiet to Unsettled 

Frequencies:  
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      No data available during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
      Enhanced by 25% after local dawn.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 25% during local day,
      Enhanced by 30% during local night.
      Enhanced by 15% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Enhanced by 20% over the UT day.


02 Apr 
Solar:        very low
Geomagnetic:  Quiet to unsettled 

Frequencies:  
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Enhanced by 15-25%.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 15-20%.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 25% .
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.


03 Apr 
Solar:        low
Geomagnetic:  Quiet to Active 

Frequencies:  
Near predicted monthly values to enhanced at all stations.


04 Apr 
Solar:        high, with an   M6.1 at 1532UT , and an   M1.4 at 1048UT
Geomagnetic:  Quiet 

Frequencies:  
Near predicted monthly values to enhanced at all stations.


 
2. FORECAST (05 APRIL - 11 APRIL)
Solar: Low to moderate becoming moderate to high.

Geomagnetic:  Mostly quiet to unsettled with possible active periods.

Frequencies:  Near predicted monthly values to enhanced.
              SWFs probable.

PEASE NOTE: 
At this time of the solar cycle, space weather conditions
are frequently determined by short timescale events, not
able to be forecasted a week in advance.

IPS Radio and Space Services      | email: asfc at ips.gov.au
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