From rwc at ips.gov.au Wed Dec 4 15:30:08 2019 From: rwc at ips.gov.au (Regional Warning Centre) Date: Wed, 04 Dec 2019 15:30:08 +1100 Subject: [Ips-whfpr] SWS Weekly Prop. Report (04 December 19) issued 0430 UT on 04 Dec 2019 Message-ID: <20191204043008.BF982EE@sws-nebula.sws> SUBJ: SWS WEEKLY HF PROPAGATION REPORT ISSUED ON 04 DECEMBER 2019 BY Space Weather Services FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST 1. SUMMARY (27 NOVEMBER - 03 DECEMBER) Date T index Conditions 27 Nov -36 Normal-fair MUFS: Cocos Island Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day. Depressed by 15% during local night. Niue Island Region: No data available during local day. No data available during local night. Northern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day. Depressed by 35% during local night. Southern Australian Region: Depressed by 15% during local day. Near predicted monthly values during local night. Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson): Near predicted monthly values over the UT day. 28 Nov -27 Normal-fair MUFS: Cocos Island Region: Depressed by 15% during local day. Depressed by 25% during local night. Niue Island Region: No data available. Northern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day. Depressed by 25% during local night. Southern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values. Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson): Near predicted monthly values over the UT day. 29 Nov -28 Normal MUFS: Cocos Island Region: Near predicted monthly values. Niue Island Region: No data available. Northern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day. Depressed by 20% during local night. Southern Australian Region: Mostly near predicted monthly values. Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson): Near predicted monthly values over the UT day. 30 Nov -36 Normal MUFS: Cocos Island Region: Depressed by 30% during local day. Depressed by 20% during local night. Niue Island Region: No data available. Northern Australian Region: Depressed by 15% during local day. Depressed by 30% during local night. Southern Australian Region: Depressed by 15% during local day. Depressed by 20% during local night. Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson): Near predicted monthly values over the UT day. 01 Dec -33 Normal MUFS: Cocos Island Region: Depressed by 15% during local day. Near predicted monthly values during local night. Enhanced by 20% after local dawn. Niue Island Region: No data available. Northern Australian Region: Depressed by 20% during local day. Depressed by 25% during local night. Southern Australian Region: Depressed by 15% during local day. Near predicted monthly values during local night. Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson): Near predicted monthly values over the UT day. 02 Dec -41 Normal MUFS: Cocos Island Region: Depressed by 15% during local day. Depressed by 20% during local night. Niue Island Region: No data available. Northern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day. Depressed by 15% during local night. Southern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day. Depressed by 20% during local night. Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson): Near predicted monthly values over the UT day. 03 Dec -31 Normal MUFS: Cocos Island Region: Depressed by 15% during local day. Enhanced by 15% during local night. Niue Island Region: No data available. Northern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day. Depressed by 15% during local night. Southern Australian Region: Depressed by 15% during local day. Near predicted monthly values during local night. Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson): Near predicted monthly values over the UT day. Predicted Monthly T index for December: -16 2. FORECAST (04 DECEMBER - 10 DECEMBER) MUFS: MUFs near predicted monthly values. Propagation conditions: Normal. No SWFs. T index: -16 3. OUTLOOK (11 DECEMBER - 10 JANUARY) Degraded HF propagation conditions possible: 18 Dec PLEASE NOTE: Space weather conditions can frequently be determined by short timescale events that cannot be forecast a week in advance, particularly at solar maximum. For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to http://www.sws.bom.gov.au, and follow links to Educational-> Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms. Space Weather Services email: asfc at bom.gov.au Bureau of Meteorology PO Box 1386 WWW: http://www.sws.bom.gov.au Haymarket NSW 1240 AUSTRALIA FTP: ftp://ftp-out.sws.bom.gov.au tel: +61 2 9213 8010 fax: +61 2 9213 8060 IMPORTANT: This e-mail, including any attachments, may contain, confidential or copyright information. The views expressed in this message are those of the individual sender, unless specifically stated to be the views of SWS. If you are not the intended recipient, please contact the sender immediately and delete all copies of this e-mail and attachments. To unsubscribe from an IPS mail list either send an email to "MAIL_LIST"-leave at ips.gov.au or go to http://www.sws.bom.gov.au/mailman/listinfo/"MAIL_LIST". Information about training can be obtained from http://www.sws.bom.gov.au/mailman/listinfo/ips-training. General information is available from http://www.sws.bom.gov.au/mailman/listinfo/ips-info. From rwc at ips.gov.au Wed Dec 11 13:14:32 2019 From: rwc at ips.gov.au (rwc) Date: Wed, 11 Dec 2019 13:14:32 +1100 Subject: [Ips-whfpr] SWS Weekly Prop. Report (11 December 19) issued 0214 UT on 11 Dec 2019 Message-ID: <20191211021432.4BA1960A423D@sws-aurora.sws.bom.gov.au> SUBJ: SWS WEEKLY HF PROPAGATION REPORT ISSUED ON 11 DECEMBER 2019 BY Space Weather Services FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST 1. SUMMARY (04 DECEMBER - 10 DECEMBER) Date T index Conditions 04 Dec -36 Normal MUFS: Cocos Island Region: Depressed by 20% during local day. Near predicted monthly values during local night. Niue Island Region: No data available. Northern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day. Depressed by 25% during local night. Southern Australian Region: Depressed by 20% during local day. Depressed by 20% during local night. Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson): Near predicted monthly values over the UT day. 05 Dec -38 Normal MUFS: Cocos Island Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day. Depressed by 20% during local night. Niue Island Region: No data. Northern Australian Region: Depressed by 20% during local day. Near predicted monthly values to 25% depressed during local night. Southern Australian Region: Depressed by 25% during local day. Depressed by 15% during local night. Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson): Near predicted monthly values over the UT day. 06 Dec -35 Normal-fair MUFS: Cocos Island Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day. Depressed by 30% during local night. Niue Island Region: Depressed by 30% during local day. Depressed by 15% during local night. Depressed by 30% after local dawn. Northern Australian Region: Depressed by 20% during local day. Depressed by 20% during local night. Southern Australian Region: Depressed by 15% during local day. Near predicted monthly values during local night. Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson): Near predicted monthly values over the UT day. 07 Dec -36 Normal-fair MUFS: Cocos Island Region: Depressed by 20% during local day. Near predicted monthly values during local night. Niue Island Region: Depressed by 30% during local day. Near predicted monthly values during local night. Northern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day. Depressed by 15% during local night. Southern Australian Region: Depressed by 20% during local day. Near predicted monthly values during local night. Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson): Near predicted monthly values over the UT day. 08 Dec -27 Normal-fair MUFS: Cocos Island Region: Depressed by 20% during local day. Near predicted monthly values during local night. Niue Island Region: Depressed by 40% during local day. Depressed by 25% during local night. Depressed by 20% after local dawn. Northern Australian Region: Depressed by 20% during local day. Near predicted monthly values during local night. Southern Australian Region: Depressed by 15% during local day. Near predicted monthly values during local night. Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson): Near predicted monthly values over the UT day. 09 Dec -25 Normal MUFS: Cocos Island Region: Depressed by 20% during local day. Near predicted monthly values during local night. Niue Island Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day. Depressed by 25% during local night. Northern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values. Southern Australian Region: Depressed by 15% during local day. Near predicted monthly values during local night. Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson): Near predicted monthly values over the UT day. 10 Dec -25 Normal-fair MUFS: Cocos Island Region: Depressed by 15% during local day. Depressed by 15% during local night. Niue Island Region: Depressed by 30% during local day. Near predicted monthly values during local night. Northern Australian Region: Depressed by 20% during local day. Enhanced by 15% during local night. Southern Australian Region: Depressed by 15% during local day. Near predicted monthly values during local night. Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson): Near predicted monthly values over the UT day. Predicted Monthly T index for December: -16 2. FORECAST (11 DECEMBER - 17 DECEMBER) MUFS: MUFs mostly near predicted monthly values with occasional mild depressions. Propagation conditions: Normal. No SWFs due to low solar activity. T index: -16 3. OUTLOOK (18 DECEMBER - 17 JANUARY) Degraded HF propagation conditions possible: 18 Dec, 14 Jan PLEASE NOTE: Space weather conditions can frequently be determined by short timescale events that cannot be forecast a week in advance, particularly at solar maximum. For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to http://www.sws.bom.gov.au, and follow links to Educational-> Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms. Space Weather Services email: asfc at bom.gov.au Bureau of Meteorology PO Box 1386 WWW: http://www.sws.bom.gov.au Haymarket NSW 1240 AUSTRALIA FTP: ftp://ftp-out.sws.bom.gov.au tel: +61 2 9213 8010 fax: +61 2 9213 8060 IMPORTANT: This e-mail, including any attachments, may contain, confidential or copyright information. The views expressed in this message are those of the individual sender, unless specifically stated to be the views of SWS. If you are not the intended recipient, please contact the sender immediately and delete all copies of this e-mail and attachments. To unsubscribe from an IPS mail list either send an email to "MAIL_LIST"-leave at ips.gov.au or go to http://www.sws.bom.gov.au/mailman/listinfo/"MAIL_LIST". Information about training can be obtained from http://www.sws.bom.gov.au/mailman/listinfo/ips-training. General information is available from http://www.sws.bom.gov.au/mailman/listinfo/ips-info. From rwc at ips.gov.au Wed Dec 18 13:03:11 2019 From: rwc at ips.gov.au (rwc) Date: Wed, 18 Dec 2019 13:03:11 +1100 Subject: [Ips-whfpr] SWS Weekly Prop. Report (18 December 19) issued 0203 UT on 18 Dec 2019 Message-ID: <20191218020311.40C4560C62F0@sws-aurora.sws.bom.gov.au> SUBJ: SWS WEEKLY HF PROPAGATION REPORT ISSUED ON 18 DECEMBER 2019 BY Space Weather Services FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST 1. SUMMARY (11 DECEMBER - 17 DECEMBER) Date T index Conditions 11 Dec -30 Normal-fair MUFS: Cocos Island Region: Mostly near predicted monthly values. Niue Island Region: Near predicted monthly values. Northern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day. Depressed by 20% during local night. Southern Australian Region: Depressed by 15% during local day. Near predicted monthly values during local night. Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson): Near predicted monthly values over the UT day. 12 Dec -34 Normal-fair MUFS: Cocos Island Region: Depressed by 15% during local day. Depressed by 25% during local night. Niue Island Region: Near predicted monthly values. Northern Australian Region: Depressed by 15% during local day. Depressed by 15% during local night. Southern Australian Region: Depressed by 15% during local day. Near predicted monthly values during local night. Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson): Near predicted monthly values over the UT day. 13 Dec -25 Normal MUFS: Cocos Island Region: Near predicted monthly values. Niue Island Region: Near predicted monthly values. Northern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values. Southern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values. Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson): Near predicted monthly values over the UT day. 14 Dec -33 Normal-fair MUFS: Cocos Island Region: Depressed by 30% during local day. Depressed by 15% during local night. Niue Island Region: Mostly near predicted monthly values. Northern Australian Region: Depressed by 30% during local day. Near predicted monthly values during local night. Southern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values. Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson): Near predicted monthly values over the UT day. 15 Dec -30 Normal-fair MUFS: Cocos Island Region: Depressed by 15% during local day. Near predicted monthly values during local night. Niue Island Region: Depressed by 25% during local day. Near predicted monthly values during local night. Northern Australian Region: Depressed by 15% during local day. Near predicted monthly values during local night. Southern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day. Depressed by 15% during local night. Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson): Near predicted monthly values over the UT day. 16 Dec -27 Normal MUFS: Cocos Island Region: Near predicted monthly values. Niue Island Region: Depressed by 15% during local day. Depressed by 30% during local night. Northern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values. Southern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values. Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson): Near predicted monthly values over the UT day. 17 Dec -36 Normal MUFS: Cocos Island Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day. Depressed by 20% during local night. Niue Island Region: Depressed by 35% during local day. Depressed by 15% during local night. Northern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day. Depressed by 20% during local night. Southern Australian Region: Depressed by 15% during local day. Near predicted monthly values during local night. Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson): Near predicted monthly values over the UT day. Predicted Monthly T index for December: -16 2. FORECAST (18 DECEMBER - 24 DECEMBER) MUFS: Briefly depressed after local dawn on 18 Dec. MUFs mostly near predicted monthly values with possible minor to moderate MUF depressions on other days. Propagation conditions: Fair on 18 Dec. Otherwise normal. No SWFs due to low solar activity. T index: -16 3. OUTLOOK (25 DECEMBER - 24 JANUARY) Degraded HF propagation conditions possible: 14 Jan PLEASE NOTE: Space weather conditions can frequently be determined by short timescale events that cannot be forecast a week in advance, particularly at solar maximum. For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to http://www.sws.bom.gov.au, and follow links to Educational-> Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms. Space Weather Services email: asfc at bom.gov.au Bureau of Meteorology PO Box 1386 WWW: http://www.sws.bom.gov.au Haymarket NSW 1240 AUSTRALIA FTP: ftp://ftp-out.sws.bom.gov.au tel: +61 2 9213 8010 fax: +61 2 9213 8060 IMPORTANT: This e-mail, including any attachments, may contain, confidential or copyright information. The views expressed in this message are those of the individual sender, unless specifically stated to be the views of SWS. If you are not the intended recipient, please contact the sender immediately and delete all copies of this e-mail and attachments. To unsubscribe from an IPS mail list either send an email to "MAIL_LIST"-leave at ips.gov.au or go to http://www.sws.bom.gov.au/mailman/listinfo/"MAIL_LIST". Information about training can be obtained from http://www.sws.bom.gov.au/mailman/listinfo/ips-training. General information is available from http://www.sws.bom.gov.au/mailman/listinfo/ips-info. From rwc at ips.gov.au Wed Dec 25 12:03:21 2019 From: rwc at ips.gov.au (rwc) Date: Wed, 25 Dec 2019 12:03:21 +1100 Subject: [Ips-whfpr] SWS Weekly Prop. Report (25 December 19) issued 0103 UT on 25 Dec 2019 Message-ID: <20191225010321.1B86B60F8E7A@sws-aurora.sws.bom.gov.au> SUBJ: SWS WEEKLY HF PROPAGATION REPORT ISSUED ON 25 DECEMBER 2019 BY Space Weather Services FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST 1. SUMMARY (18 DECEMBER - 24 DECEMBER) Date T index Conditions 18 Dec -35 Normal MUFS: Cocos Island Region: Near predicted monthly values. Niue Island Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day. Depressed by 30% during local night. Northern Australian Region: Depressed by 15% during local day. Depressed by 15% during local night. Southern Australian Region: Depressed by 15% during local day. Near predicted monthly values during local night. Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson): Near predicted monthly values over the UT day. 19 Dec -16 Normal MUFS: Cocos Island Region: Near predicted monthly values. Niue Island Region: Depressed by 15% during local day. Enhanced by 30% during local night. Northern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values. Southern Australian Region: Mostly near predicted monthly values. Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson): Depressed by 15% over the UT day. 20 Dec -34 Normal MUFS: Cocos Island Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day. Depressed by 15% during local night. Niue Island Region: Mostly near predicted monthly values. Depressed by 25% after local dawn. Northern Australian Region: Near predicted monthly values. Southern Australian Region: Depressed by 20% during local day. Depressed by 20% during local night. Depressed by 20% after local dawn. Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson): Near predicted monthly values over the UT day. 21 Dec -20 Normal-fair MUFS: Cocos Island Region: Near predicted monthly values. Niue Island Region: Mostly near predicted monthly values. Northern Australian Region: Depressed by 20% during local day. Near predicted monthly values during local night. Southern Australian Region: Depressed by 20% during local day. Near predicted monthly values during local night. Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson): Near predicted monthly values over the UT day. 22 Dec -14 Normal MUFS: Cocos Island Region: Near predicted monthly values. Niue Island Region: Near predicted monthly values during local day. Depressed by 20% during local night. Northern Australian Region: Depressed by 20% during local day. Enhanced by 20% during local night. Southern Australian Region: Depressed by 15% during local day. Near predicted monthly values during local night. Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson): Near predicted monthly values over the UT day. 23 Dec -31 Normal-fair MUFS: Cocos Island Region: Near predicted monthly values. Niue Island Region: Depressed by 20% during local day. Depressed by 25% during local night. Northern Australian Region: Depressed by 15% during local day. Near predicted monthly values during local night. Southern Australian Region: Depressed by 15% during local day. Depressed by 15% during local night. Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson): Near predicted monthly values over the UT day. 24 Dec -32 Normal-fair MUFS: Cocos Island Region: Depressed by 15% during local day. Near predicted monthly values during local night. Niue Island Region: Depressed by 25% during local day. Depressed by 35% during local night. Northern Australian Region: Depressed by 20% during local day. Near predicted monthly values during local night. Southern Australian Region: Depressed by 20% during local day. Near predicted monthly values during local night. Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson): Near predicted monthly values over the UT day. Predicted Monthly T index for December: -16 2. FORECAST (25 DECEMBER - 31 DECEMBER) MUFS: MUFs mostly near predicted monthly values with possible minor to moderate MUFs depressions. Propagation conditions: Normal to Fair. No SWFs. T index: -16 3. OUTLOOK (01 JANUARY - 31 JANUARY) Degraded HF propagation conditions possible: 13-14 Jan, 27-29 Jan. PLEASE NOTE: Space weather conditions can frequently be determined by short timescale events that cannot be forecast a week in advance, particularly at solar maximum. For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to http://www.sws.bom.gov.au, and follow links to Educational-> Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms. Space Weather Services email: asfc at bom.gov.au Bureau of Meteorology PO Box 1386 WWW: http://www.sws.bom.gov.au Haymarket NSW 1240 AUSTRALIA FTP: ftp://ftp-out.sws.bom.gov.au tel: +61 2 9213 8010 fax: +61 2 9213 8060 IMPORTANT: This e-mail, including any attachments, may contain, confidential or copyright information. The views expressed in this message are those of the individual sender, unless specifically stated to be the views of SWS. If you are not the intended recipient, please contact the sender immediately and delete all copies of this e-mail and attachments. To unsubscribe from an IPS mail list either send an email to "MAIL_LIST"-leave at ips.gov.au or go to http://www.sws.bom.gov.au/mailman/listinfo/"MAIL_LIST". Information about training can be obtained from http://www.sws.bom.gov.au/mailman/listinfo/ips-training. General information is available from http://www.sws.bom.gov.au/mailman/listinfo/ips-info.