[Ips-whfpr] IPS Weekly Prop. Report (29 October 14) issued 0330 UT on 29 Oct 2014
Regional Warning Centre
rwc at ips.gov.au
Wed Oct 29 14:30:10 EST 2014
SUBJ: IPS WEEKLY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED ON 29 OCTOBER 2014 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST
1. SUMMARY (22 OCTOBER - 28 OCTOBER)
Date T index Conditions
22 Oct 93 Normal
MUFS:
Cocos Island Region:
Near predicted monthly values. Enhanced 25-30%
21-22 UT.
Niue Island Region:
Enhanced 25-40% 00-08, 11-12, 21-23 UT. Near
predicted monthly values at other times.
Northern Australian Region:
Near predicted monthly values. Enhanced 20-35%
20-22 UT at Townsville. No Townsville data 06-19 UT.
Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
Near predicted monthly values with enhancements to
25% 09-18 UT. Learmonth and Perth depressed to 30%
00-10 UT then near predicted monthly values.
Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
Near predicted monthly values to 30% enhanced.
Mawson depressed to 30% 12-18 UT.
23 Oct 116 Normal
MUFS:
Cocos Island Region:
Near predicted monthly values. Enhanced 20-30%
11-14 UT.
Niue Island Region:
Enhanced 25-40% 00-05, 10-11, 14-17, 22-23 UT.
Enhanced to 20% at other times.
Northern Australian Region:
Near predicted monthly values to 20% enhanced.
Enhanced 30-50% 06-13 UT at Darwin.
Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
Near predicted monthly values. Enhanced by 20-30%
10-16 UT at eastern Australia stations.
Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
Near predicted monthly values to 30% enhanced.
24 Oct 109 Normal
MUFS:
Cocos Island Region:
Near predicted monthly values with 20-40%
enhancements 12-17, 20-21 UT.
Niue Island Region:
Enhanced 35-50% 00-05 UT then near predicted
monthly values to 20% enhanced.
Northern Australian Region:
Near predicted monthly values. Enhanced 25-35%
12-14 UT at Townsville and 20-35% 10-13, 20-22 UT
at Darwin.
Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
Near predicted monthly values. Some enhancements to
25% around 09-15 UT.
Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
Near predicted monthly values to 40% enhanced.
25 Oct 115 Normal
MUFS:
Cocos Island Region:
Near predicted monthly values. Enhanced 25-60%
09-17, 21 UT.
Niue Island Region:
Near predicted monthly values. Enhanced 20-35%
00-02, 11-12, 21-23 UT.
Northern Australian Region:
Near predicted monthly values. Enhanced 25-35%
10-13, 17 UT at Darwin and 20-30% 11-13, 16-18
UT at Townsville.
Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
Near predicted monthly values. Some enhancements
to 25% 11-19 UT. Night spread F at Hobart.
Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
Near predicted monthly values to 30% enhanced.
No Scott Base data 12-23 UT.
26 Oct 125 Normal
MUFS:
Cocos Island Region:
Near predicted monthly values. Enhanced 20-35%
14-20 UT.
Niue Island Region:
Enhanced by 45-70% 00-11 UT. Enhanced 20-35%
12-18 UT then near predicted monthly values.
Northern Australian Region:
Near predicted monthly values. Enhanced 25-35%
11-14, 18-20 UT at Darwin. Enhanced 20-30% 02-06,
11-14, 17-23 UT at Townsville.
Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
Near predicted monthly values with 20-30% enhancements
after 09 UT. Near predicted monthly values at Learmonth
and Perth. Spread F at Hobart 10-17 UT.
Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
Near predicted monthly values to 25% enhanced.
27 Oct 122 Normal
MUFS:
Cocos Island Region:
Enhanced by 20% during local day.
Enhanced by 25% during local night.
Niue Island Region:
Near predicted monthly values during local day.
Enhanced by 15% during local night.
Northern Australian Region:
Enhanced by 15% during local day.
Enhanced by 25% during local night.
Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
Near predicted monthly values.
Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.
28 Oct 92 Normal
MUFS:
Cocos Island Region:
Near predicted monthly values during local day.
Enhanced by 30% during local night.
Enhanced by 20% after local dawn.
Niue Island Region:
Enhanced by 20% during local day.
Near predicted monthly values during local night.
Northern Australian Region:
Near predicted monthly values.
Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
Depressed by 15% during local day.
Near predicted monthly values during local night.
Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.
Predicted Monthly T index for October: 86
2. FORECAST (29 OCTOBER - 04 NOVEMBER)
MUFS: MUFs near predicted monthly values.
Propagation conditions: Normal. SWFs probable early in week.
T index: 86
IPS SWF HF Communications Warning 54 was issued on 27 October
and is current for 28-29 Oct.
3. OUTLOOK (05 NOVEMBER - 05 DECEMBER)
Degraded HF propagation conditions possible:
16-17 Nov
PLEASE NOTE:
Space weather conditions can frequently be determined by short
timescale events that cannot be forecast a week in advance,
particularly at solar maximum.
For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.
IPS Radio and Space Services email: asfc at ips.gov.au
PO Box 1386 WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240 AUSTRALIA FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au
tel: +61 2 9213 8010 fax: +61 2 9213 8060
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