[Ips-whfpr] IPS Weekly Prop. Report (27 November 13) issued 0052 UT on 27 Nov 2013

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS WEEKLY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED ON 27 NOVEMBER 2013 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (20 NOVEMBER - 26 NOVEMBER)
Date   T index   Conditions        
20 Nov  150      Normal            
MUFS:
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data available but probably strongly enhanced.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 15-45% for most of the day.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 10-35% for most of the day.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 25% during local day.
      Enhanced by 30% during local night.
      Enhanced by 20% after local dawn.
      Enhanced up to 50% during some hours. 
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Enhanced by 10-60% at most stations.

21 Nov  128      Normal            
MUFS:
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data available but probably enhanced.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 5-40% for most of the day.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 10-35% for most of the day.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 15-50% for most of the day
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Enhanced by 20-60% for most of the day. 

22 Nov  150      Normal            
MUFS:
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data available but probably enhanced.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 25% during local day.
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 25% during local day.
      Enhanced by 30% during local night.
      Enhanced by 30% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Enhanced by 30% over the UT day.

23 Nov  130      Normal            
MUFS:
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data available during local day.
      No data available during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 30% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Enhanced by 30% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

24 Nov   90      Normal            
MUFS:
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data available during local day.
      No data available during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 60% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
      Enhanced by 20% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

25 Nov  110      Normal            
MUFS:
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data available during local day.
      No data available during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 20% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Enhanced by 20% over the UT day.

26 Nov  116      Normal            
MUFS:
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data available during local day.
      No data available during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
      Enhanced by 25% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Enhanced by 25% over the UT day.

Predicted Monthly T index for November:  71

2. FORECAST (27 NOVEMBER - 03 DECEMBER) 
MUFS: MUFs mostly near predicted monthly values. Minor MUF depressions possible
on 27 November on high latitudes.

Propagation conditions: Mostly normal. No SWFs expected. Minor degradations
possible 
on 27 November on high latitudes.

T index: 115

3. OUTLOOK (04 DECEMBER - 03 JANUARY)
Degraded HF propagation conditions possible:
6 to 8 December. 

PLEASE NOTE:
Space weather conditions can frequently be determined by short 
timescale events that cannot be forecast a week in advance,
particularly at solar maximum.

For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

IPS Radio and Space Services        email: asfc at ips.gov.au
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