[Ips-whfpr] IPS Weekly Prop. Report (09 November 11) issued 0216 UT on 09 Nov 2011
rwc
rwc at ips.gov.au
Wed Nov 9 13:16:19 EST 2011
SUBJ: IPS WEEKLY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 09/0200Z NOVEMBER 2011 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST
1. SUMMARY (02 NOVEMBER - 08 NOVEMBER)
Date T index Conditions
02 Nov 101 Fair-normal
MUFS:
Cocos Island Region:
Near predicted monthly values. Enhancements to 20%
01-03 and 19-23 UT.
Niue Island Region:
Enhanced 20-40% above predicted monthly values.
Spread F 16-18 UT.
Northern Australian Region:
Near predicted monthly values with enhancements to
20% 10-14, 19-21 UT at Darwin and enhancements to
40% 08-22 UT at Townsville.
Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
Near predicted monthly values to 35% enhanced.
Occasional depressions to 20% mostly 04-13 UT at Perth
and Learmonth. Night spread F at Hobart.
Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
Near predicted monthly values with occasional
depressions to 30%.
03 Nov 106 Normal
MUFS:
Cocos Island Region:
Near predicted monthly values until 13 UT then enhanced
to 35%.
Niue Island Region:
Mostly enhanced to 30%. No data 18-23 UT.
Northern Australian Region:
Darwin MUFs were near predicted monthly values to 05
UT then enhanced to 35% apart from enhancements to
60% 10-14 UT. Mostly 10 to 30% enhanced at Townsville.
Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
Mostly near predicted monthly values until around 19 UT
then enhanced to 30%. Enhanced at Perth to 30% most of
the time.
Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
Near predicted monthly values. Enhancements to 30%
09-16 UT at Macquarie Is and Scott Base.
04 Nov 131 Normal
MUFS:
Cocos Island Region:
Near predicted monthly values. Enhancements to 40%
13-23 UT.
Niue Island Region:
Near predicted monthly values. Enhancements to 40%
13-16 UT.
Northern Australian Region:
Mostly 15-40% enhanced at Darwin and 15-30% enhanced
at Townsville.
Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
Enhanced to 25%. Mostly near predicted monthly values
at Brisbane and Norfolk Is. No Hobart data.
Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
Near predicted monthly values to 30% enhanced.
05 Nov 111 Normal
MUFS:
Cocos Island Region:
Near predicted monthly values.
Niue Island Region:
Near predicted monthly values. Enhanced to 35% 05-18
UT.
Northern Australian Region:
Near predicted monthly values. Enhanced to 20% 14-18
UT at Darwin and 01-13, 17-21 UT at Townsville.
Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
Enhanced 10-25%.
Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
Near predicted monthly values. Occasional enhancements
to 25%.
06 Nov 130 Normal
MUFS:
Cocos Island Region:
Near predicted monthly values. Enhanced 20-50%
13-23 UT.
Niue Island Region:
Near predicted monthly values. Enhanced 20-40%
09-16 and 22-23 UT.
Northern Australian Region:
Near predicted monthly values to 05 UT then
enhanced 20-50%.
Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
Mostly 15-35% enhanced. No Hobart data 00-20 UT.
Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
Near predicted monthly values to 25% enhanced.
07 Nov 144 Normal
MUFS:
Cocos Island Region:
Enhanced by 15% during local day.
Enhanced by 40% during local night.
Enhanced by 40% after local dawn.
Niue Island Region:
Enhanced by 35% during local day.
Enhanced by 45% during local night.
Northern Australian Region:
Near predicted monthly values during local day.
Enhanced by 30% during local night.
Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
Enhanced by 25% during local day.
Enhanced by 30% during local night.
Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.
08 Nov 131 Normal
MUFS:
Cocos Island Region:
Enhanced by 30% during local day.
Enhanced by 65% during local night.
Enhanced by 20% after local dawn.
Niue Island Region:
Enhanced by 25% during local day.
Enhanced by 15% during local night.
Northern Australian Region:
Enhanced by 15% during local day.
Enhanced by 25% during local night.
Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
Enhanced by 15% during local day.
Enhanced by 15% during local night.
Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.
Predicted Monthly T index for November: 66
2. FORECAST (09 NOVEMBER - 15 NOVEMBER)
MUFS: MUFs near predicted monthly values to enhanced.
Degraded HF propagation conditions possible:
11-12 Nov.
SWFs possble.
T index: 110
COMMENT: IPS HF Communications Warning 50 was issued on 6 November and is
current for interval 7-9 November (SWFs).
3. OUTLOOK (16 NOVEMBER - 16 DECEMBER)
Degraded HF propagation conditions possible:
26-27 Nov.
PLEASE NOTE:
Space weather conditions can frequently be determined by short
timescale events that cannot be forecast a week in advance,
particularly at solar maximum.
For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.
IPS Radio and Space Services email: asfc at ips.gov.au
PO Box 1386 WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240 AUSTRALIA FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au
tel: +61 2 9213 8010 fax: +61 2 9213 8060
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