[Ips-whfpr] IPS Weekly Prop. Report (30 March 11)

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS WEEKLY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 30/0200Z MARCH 2011 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST
1. SUMMARY (23 MARCH - 29 MARCH)
Date   T index   Conditions        
23 Mar   57      Normal            
MUFS:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Enhanced by 20% during local day,
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values,
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Depressed by 20% over the UT day.

24 Mar   62      Normal            
MUFS:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Enhanced by 40% during local day,
      Enhanced by 65% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

25 Mar   61      Normal            
MUFS:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Enhanced by 25% during local day,
      Enhanced by 40% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values,
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced by 30% during local night.
      Enhanced by 35% after local dawn.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

26 Mar   64      Normal            
MUFS:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Enhanced by 45% during local day,
      Enhanced by 35% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced by 60% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values,
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

27 Mar   64      Normal            
MUFS:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Enhanced by 35% during local day,
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced by 40% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
      Enhanced by 25% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

28 Mar   75      Normal            
MUFS:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Enhanced between 05-16UT by 50%,
      Near monthly values at other times.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 30% before 12UT, 
      Near monthly values at other times.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 30% between 10-19UT,
      Near predicted monthly values at other times.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day,
      Enhanced by 35% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Enhanced by 30%.

29 Mar   77      Normal            
MUFS:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Enhanced to 50% from 05-22UT.
      Near predicted monthly values at other times.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 25% from 08-11UT.
      Enhanced by 20% from 17-18UT.
      Near predicted monthly values at other times.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 40% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 40% from 07-21UT.
      Near predicted monthly values at other times.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Enhanced to 70% during the UT day.

Predicted Monthly T index for March:  40
2. FORECAST (30 MARCH - 05 APRIL) 
MUFS: MUFs near predicted monthly values to 30% enhanced
on 31Mar and up to 60% enhanced on other days.
Propagation conditions: Normal. SWFs possible.
T index: 50-70 

3. OUTLOOK (06 APRIL - 06 MAY)
Normal HF propagation conditions likely.

PLEASE NOTE:
Space weather conditions can frequently be determined by short 
timescale events that cannot be forecast a week in advance,
particularly at solar maximum.

For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.


IPS Radio and Space Services        email: asfc at ips.gov.au
PO Box 1386                         WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au
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