[Ips-whfpr] IPS Weekly Prop. Report (26 January 11)

Wed Jan 26 14:30:03 EST 2011

SUBJ: IPS WEEKLY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 26/0200Z JANUARY 2011 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST
1. SUMMARY (19 JANUARY - 25 JANUARY)
Date   T index   Conditions        
19 Jan   20      Fair-normal       
MUFS:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values with depressions to 35%
      11-12 and 21-23 UT. No data 13-20 UT.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values with depressions to 30%
      00-06 and 19-23 UT. Blanketing sporadic E 02 UT.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values to 30% enhanced.
      Depressions to 35% 18-21 UT. No data for Townsville.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values with depressions to 25%
      mostly between 01-07 and 17-21 UT.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values with depressions to 25%
      mostly 09-17 and 21 UT.

20 Jan    2      Poor-normal       
MUFS:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values with 25-40% depressions
      11-23 UT.
   Niue Island Region:
      Depressed 15-40% 00-21 UT then near predicted monthly
      values.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values with 20-40% depressions
      17-21 UT. No data for Townsville.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values with depressions to 35%
      00-06 at Brisbane, Canberra, Norfolk Is. and Sydney.
      Depressions to 20% 20-23 UT at Brisbane, to 35% 11-21
      UT at Norfolk Is. and to 30% 15-21 UT at Perth.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values with depressions to 25%
      00-08, 14-18 UT at Macquarie Is. and 10-14, 19-20 UT
      at Mawson.

21 Jan    2      Poor-normal       
MUFS:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values with depressions to 45%
      10-22 UT.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values with depressions to 45%
      06, 12-17 and 20-22 UT.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values with depressions to 30%
      01, 11-22 UT. No data from Townsville.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values with depressions to 25%
      01-07, 11-16 UT at Brisbane, depressions to 20% 06-09
      UT at Sydney and 01, 08-10 UT at Hobart and
      depressions to 30% 13-17 and 20-21 UT at Perth.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values with depressions to 35%
      14-17 UT at Macquarie Is. and depressions to 20% 02-03,
      09-20 UT at Mawson.

22 Jan    6      Fair-normal       
MUFS:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values with depressions to 25%
      10-18 UT and to 40% 19-22 UT.
   Niue Island Region:
      Depressions 20-40% 00-04 UT. No data 05-21 UT.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values with depressions to 30%
      00-01, 08-10, 14-15, 18-21 UT. No data from
      Townsville.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values with depressions to 30%
      01-05, 09-19 UT at Brisbane, 01-05, 08, 11-16 UT at
      Norfolk Is. and 21 UT at Perth. Depressions to 20%
      04-12, 13-16 UT at Canberra, 04-05, 10-16 UT at Sydney,
      and 05-08, 13-15 UT at Hobart.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values.

23 Jan    5      Fair-normal       
MUFS:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values with depressions to 40%
      01-02, and 15-22 UT.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values with depressions to 30%
      00-07, 10-13 UT and to 35% 20-21 UT.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values with depressions to 30%
      01-02, 10-15 and 17-21 UT. No Townsville data.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values with depressions to 25%
      00-08 UT at Brisbane, Norfolk Is. and Perth.
      Depressions to 20% 12-17 and 20-21 UT at Norfolk Is.,
      Perth and 23 UT at Brisbane. No Hobart data.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values with depressions to 25%
      19-22 UT at Mawson.

24 Jan    9      Normal-fair       
MUFS:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Depressed by 20% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Depressed by 25% during local night.
      Depressed by 25% after local dawn.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 25% during local day,
      Depressed by 15% during local night.
      Depressed by 20% after local dawn.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Depressed by 15% during local day,
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
      Depressed by 20% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

25 Jan   -0      Normal-fair       
MUFS:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      No data available during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values,
      Depressed by 25% after local dawn.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Depressed by 15% during local day,
      Depressed by 20% during local night.
      Depressed by 20% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Depressed by 20% over the UT day.

Predicted Monthly T index for January:  37
2. FORECAST (26 JANUARY - 01 FEBRUARY) 
MUFS: MUFs near predicted monthly values.
Propagation conditions: Normal. No SWFs
T index:   30

3. OUTLOOK (02 FEBRUARY - 04 MARCH)
Degraded HF propagation conditions possible:
No signficant degraded periods expected.

PLEASE NOTE:
Space weather conditions can frequently be determined by short 
timescale events that cannot be forecast a week in advance,
particularly at solar maximum.

For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

IPS Radio and Space Services        email: asfc at ips.gov.au
PO Box 1386                         WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au 
tel: +61 2 9213 8010                fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

IMPORTANT: This e-mail, including any attachments, may contain,
confidential or copyright information.  The views expressed in 
this message are those of the individual sender, unless 
specifically stated to be the views of IPS.  If you are not 
the intended recipient, please contact the sender immediately 
and delete all copies of this e-mail and attachments. 
Occasionally IPS sends email promoting IPS products and 
services to its mailing list customers. If you do not wish to 
receive this promotional material please email 
no-spam at ips.gov.au with the subject header:UNSUBSCRIBE"