[Ips-whfpr] IPS Weekly Prop. Report (29 September 10)

rwc rwc at ips.gov.au
Wed Sep 29 12:07:10 EST 2010


SUBJ: IPS WEEKLY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 29/0200Z SEPTEMBER 2010 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST
1. SUMMARY (22 SEPTEMBER - 28 SEPTEMBER)
Date   T index   Conditions        
22 Sep   39      Normal            
MUFS:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day,
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      No data available during local day,
      No data available during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

23 Sep   43      Normal            
MUFS:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Enhanced by 35% during local day,
      Enhanced by 40% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      No data available during local day,
      No data available during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

24 Sep   39      Normal            
MUFS:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Niue Island Region:
      No data available during local day,
      No data available during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day,
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

25 Sep   28      Normal            
MUFS:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Enhanced by 40% during local day,
      Enhanced by 35% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      No data available during local day,
      No data available during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

26 Sep   28      Normal            
MUFS:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Niue Island Region:
      No data available during local day,
      No data available during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

27 Sep   31      Normal            
MUFS:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Enhanced by 25% during local day,
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      No data available during local day,
      No data available during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near monthly predicted values with periods of 
      depressions upto around  20% . 

28 Sep   29      Normal            
MUFS:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Depressed by 25% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      No data available during local day,
      No data available during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values to depressed by 20%.

Predicted Monthly T index for September:  28
2. FORECAST (29 SEPTEMBER - 05 OCTOBER) 
MUFS: MUFs mostly near predicted monthly values.Minor depressions 
on high latitudes possible on 29 September and 3 to 5 October
Propagation conditions: Mostly normal. No SWFs
T index:  34

3. OUTLOOK (06 OCTOBER - 05 NOVEMBER)
Degraded HF propagation conditions possible: Minor degradations possible
on 11, 14, 21 and 25 October.

PLEASE NOTE:
Space weather conditions can frequently be determined by short 
timescale events that cannot be forecast a week in advance,
particularly at solar maximum.

For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.


IPS Radio and Space Services        email: asfc at ips.gov.au
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