[Ips-whfpr] IPS Weekly Prop. Report (05 January 05)

rwc rwc at ips.gov.au
Wed Jan 5 11:14:48 EST 2005


SUBJ: IPS WEEKLY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 05/0200Z JANUARY 2005 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST
1. SUMMARY (29 DECEMBER - 04 JANUARY)
Date   T index   Conditions        
29 Dec   16      Normal-Fair       
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
     Depressed by 20% during local day,
     Depressed by 20% during local night.
  Northern Australian Region:
     Depressed by 20% during local day,
     Near predicted monthly values during local night.
  Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
     Depressed by 20% during local day,
     Near predicted monthly values during local night.
  Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
     Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

30 Dec   42      Fair-normal       
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Depressed by 20% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

31 Dec   79      Normal            
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
     No data available during local day,
     Depressed by 25% during local night.
  Northern Australian Region:
     Enhanced by 15% during local day,
     Enhanced by 40% during local night.
  Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
     Near predicted monthly values.
  Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
     Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

01 Jan   70      Normal-Fair       
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
     Near predicted monthly values during local day,
     Enhanced by 40% during local night.
  Northern Australian Region:
     Near predicted monthly values during local day,
     Enhanced by 20% during local night.
  Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
     Mostly near predicted monthly values,
     Enhanced by 35% after local dawn.
  Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
     Enhanced by 20% over the UT day.

02 Jan   35      Fair              
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
     Mostly near predicted monthly values,
     Depressed by 30% after local dawn.
  Northern Australian Region:
     Near predicted monthly values.
  Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
     Mostly near predicted monthly values,
     Depressed by 25% after local dawn.
  Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
     Enhanced by 45% over the UT day.

03 Jan   33      Fair              
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
     Near predicted monthly values.
  Northern Australian Region:
     Near predicted monthly values during local day,
     Enhanced by 25% during local night.
  Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
     Depressed by 20% during local day,
     Near predicted monthly values during local night.
     Depressed by 20% after local dawn.
  Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
     Enhanced by 15% over the UT day.

04 Jan   38      Fair-normal       
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Depressed by 15% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

Predicted Monthly T index for January:  33
COMMENT: Moderately depressed conditions observed 29 Dec.
2. FORECAST (05 JANUARY - 11 JANUARY) 
MUFS: depressed 15% briefly after local dawn on 06-07 Jan, otherwise MUFs near normal. 
Propagation conditions: Fair-Normal 06-07 Jan Fair 07-Jan , otherwise normal. 
			SWFs possible.
T index:   20 06-07 Jan, otherwise 35.

3. OUTLOOK (12 JANUARY - 11 FEBRUARY)
Degraded HF propagation conditions possible:
27-Jan to 01-Feb,04-Feb,09-Feb.

PLEASE NOTE:
At this time of the solar cycle, space weather conditions
are frequently determined by short timescale events, not
able to be forecasted a week in advance.

For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, goto
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.


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