[Ips-whfpr] IPS Weekly Prop. Report (28 August 02)

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS WEEKLY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 28/0200Z AUGUST 2002 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST
1. SUMMARY (21 AUGUST - 27 AUGUST)
Date   T index   Conditions        
21 Aug  153      Normal            
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Normal to enhanced.
   Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Normal to enhanced.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Depressed 15-30% at times to near predicted monthly
      values.


22 Aug  150      Normal            
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Near predicted monthly values to enhanced.
   Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values to enhanced.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Proton event in progress, increased absorption observed.


23 Aug  151      Normal            
MUFS:
Near predicted monthly values to enhanced at all stations.


24 Aug  153      Normal            
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Near predicted montly values to slightly enhanced.
   Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted montly values to slightly enhanced.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Proton event in progress, increased absorption observed.


25 Aug  150      Normal            
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Near predicted monthly values to enhanced.
   Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values to enhanced.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Proton event in progress, increased absorption observed.


26 Aug  149      Normal            
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Near predicted montly values to enhanced.
   Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted montly values to enhanced.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Near predicted montly values to enhanced.


27 Aug  152      Normal            
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Near predicted monthly values to enhanced.
   Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values to enhanced.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Near predicted monthly values to enhanced.


Predicted Monthly T index for August: 102
2. FORECAST (28 AUGUST - 03 SEPTEMBER) 
MUFS: Enhanced then returning to mostly near predicted
monthly values towards the end of the forecast period.
SWFs possible early in week.
Propagation conditions: Good to normal. 
T index:  130

3. OUTLOOK (04 SEPTEMBER - 04 OCTOBER)
Degraded HF propagation conditions possible:8-20 Sept.

PEASE NOTE:
At this time of the solar cycle, space weather conditions
are frequently determined by short timescale events, not
able to be forecasted a week in advance.

IPS Radio and Space Services      | email: asfc at ips.gov.au
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