[Ips-wgr] IPS Weekly Geo. Report (13 February 03)

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS WEEKLY GEOPHYSICAL REPORT 
ISSUED ON 13 FEBRUARY 2003, BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES,
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE

1. SUMMARY (04 FEBRUARY - 12 FEBRUARY)
K indices are in UT (0-24). For conversion to local time:
AEST = UT + 10 hours; ACST = UT + 9.5 hours; AWST = UT + 8 hours
        Australian Region*              
 Date     K-INDICES    A               
 04 Feb   3554 3343   26     
 05 Feb   2324 4323   15     
 06 Feb   3333 3333   15    
 07 Feb   3332 3233   13    
 08 Feb   3333 3233   14    
 09 Feb   3222 2333   11    
 10 Feb   3443 2233   16    
 11 Feb   3333 2323   13    
 12 Feb   2233 2423   12    

*estimated from real time data

Mostly quiet to unsettled with isolated active geomagnetic 
conditions were observed this week. IPS Geomagnetic Warning 5
was issued for the period 4-6 Feb due to anticipated coronal 
hole induced effects. Active conditions were confined mainly
to higher latitudes.

2. FORECAST (13 FEBRUARY - 15 MARCH)
Disturbed Periods: 
15-19 Feb. Active periods. Chance minor storm 15-16 Feb, 19 Feb.
21-22 Feb. 01-03 Mar. Isolated active periods possible.
13-15 Mar. Chance minor storm.

Best Quiet Periods: 
24-28 Feb.
06-11 Mar.


PLEASE NOTE:  
At this time of the solar cycle, space weather conditions 
are frequently determined by short timescale events, not 
able to be forecasted a week in advance. 

IPS Radio and Space Services      | email: asfc at ips.gov.au
PO Box 1386                       | WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA     | FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au 
tel: +61 2 9213 8010              | fax: +61 2 9213 8060