[Ips-wgr] IPS Weekly Geo. Report (07 August 03)

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS WEEKLY GEOPHYSICAL REPORT 
ISSUED ON 07 AUGUST 2003, BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES,
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE

1. SUMMARY (29 JULY - 06 AUGUST)
K indices are in UT (0-24). For conversion to local time:
AEST = UT + 10 hours; ACST = UT + 9.5 hours; AWST = UT + 8 hours
        Australian Region*              
 Date     K-INDICES    A               
 29 Jul   3444 5444   28     
 30 Jul   3445 5333   26     
 31 Jul   3345 4333   22    
 01 Aug   4445 5333   27    
 02 Aug   3333 3343   16    
 03 Aug   2333 2223   11    
 04 Aug   1233 1223    9    
 05 Aug   3221 1112    6    
 06 Aug   3343 3212   13    

*estimated from real time data

Coronal hole induced geomagnetic activity
observed first half of week. Also, solar
region 424 in the solar south-east quadrant
may become flare active if recent 
region development rates continue. 

2. FORECAST (07 AUGUST - 06 SEPTEMBER)
Disturbed Periods: 
07-08 Aug: Active to minor storm periods expected due to
coronal hole.
11-16 Aug: Unsettled to Active periods expected due to coronal
hole. Chance isolated minor storm periods.
22-23 Aug: Active periods expected (coronal hole)
25-28 Aug: Active periods expected (coronal hole)

Best Quiet Periods: 
Quiet periods restricted due to extended intervals
of coronal hole high speed wind stream induced activity.
17-21 Aug
30 Aug 01 Sep


PLEASE NOTE:  
At this time of the solar cycle, space weather conditions 
are frequently determined by short timescale events, not 
able to be forecasted a week in advance. 

IPS Radio and Space Services      | email: asfc at ips.gov.au
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Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA     | FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au 
tel: +61 2 9213 8010              | fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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