[Ips-wgr] IPS Weekly Geo. Report (18 July 02)

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS WEEKLY GEOPHYSICAL REPORT 
ISSUED ON 18 JULY 2002, BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES,
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE

1. SUMMARY (09 JULY - 17 JULY)
K indices are in UT (0-24). For conversion to local time:
AEST = UT + 10 hours; ACST = UT + 9.5 hours; AWST = UT + 8 hours
        Australian Region*              
 Date     K-INDICES    A               
 09 Jul   2233 2332   11     
 10 Jul   2223 1122    7     
 11 Jul   2112 2023    6    
 12 Jul   2323 3433   14    
 13 Jul   2221 2211    5    
 14 Jul   1111 0011    2    
 15 Jul   1121 1112    4    
 16 Jul   2223 1123    8    
 17 Jul   2333 2533   17    A weak (32nT) impulse was observed in the IPS
magnetomter data at 1604UT on 17 Jul.

*estimated from real time data

Slightly elevated activity on 12 July resulted from a coronal hole, and on
17 July from glancing blow from CME associated with X3-flare on 15 July.
on 

2. FORECAST (18 JULY - 17 AUGUST)
Disturbed Periods: There is a reasonable chance of continued CME and 
associated intermittent geomagnetic activity over the next couple of
weeks due to several active regions currently on the visible sun and
rotating into view.

Best Quiet Periods: 4-11 August. 


PEASE NOTE:  
At this time of the solar cycle, space weather conditions 
are frequently determined by short timescale events, not 
able to be forecasted a week in advance. 

IPS Radio and Space Services      | email: asfc at ips.gov.au
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