[Ips-wgr] IPS Weekly Geo. Report (14 February 02)

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS WEEKLY GEOPHYSICAL REPORT 
ISSUED ON 14 FEBRUARY 2002, BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES,
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE

1. SUMMARY (05 FEBRUARY - 13 FEBRUARY)
K indices are in UT (0-24). For conversion to local time:
AEST = UT + 10 hours; ACST = UT + 9.5 hours; AWST = UT + 8 hours
        Australian Region*              
 Date     K-INDICES    A               
 05 Feb   4334 3344   21     
 06 Feb   4444 3334   22     
 07 Feb   3333 3223   13    
 08 Feb   3322 3223   11    
 09 Feb   3322 2223   10    
 10 Feb   3233 2122    9    
 11 Feb   3334 3323   15    
 12 Feb   3332 1213   10    
 13 Feb   3233 3312   11    

*estimated from real time data

Coronal hole induced activity observed early in week.

2. FORECAST (14 FEBRUARY - 16 MARCH)
Disturbed Periods: 
15-16 Feb: Active conditions due to mass ejection observed on 12 Feb
   28 Feb: Unsettled to active (recurrence)
04-06 mar: Active (coronal hole)

Best Quiet Periods: 
18-25 Feb


PEASE NOTE:  
At this time of the solar cycle, space weather conditions 
are frequently determined by short timescale events, not 
able to be forecasted a week in advance. 

IPS Radio and Space Services      | email: asfc at ips.gov.au
PO Box 1386                       | WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au/asfc
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA     | FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au/users/asfc/ 
tel: +61 2 9213 8010              | fax: +61 2 9213 8060