[Ips-wgr] IPS Weekly Geo. Report (26 December 02)

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS WEEKLY GEOPHYSICAL REPORT 
ISSUED ON 26 DECEMBER 2002, BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES,
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE

1. SUMMARY (17 DECEMBER - 25 DECEMBER)
K indices are in UT (0-24). For conversion to local time:
AEST = UT + 10 hours; ACST = UT + 9.5 hours; AWST = UT + 8 hours
        Australian Region*              
 Date     K-INDICES    A               
 17 Dec   3211 1113    6     
 18 Dec   2222 2123    7     
 19 Dec   3545 4435   31    
 20 Dec   3322 3233   12    
 21 Dec   4632 3323   22    
 22 Dec   2223 5343   17    
 23 Dec   3344 4344   22    
 24 Dec   3223 4433   16    
 25 Dec   3222 3232   10    

*estimated from real time data

Disturbed conditions observed 19 Dec due to coronal hole
high speed wind stream. Activity around 22 Dec was due
to mass ejections.


2. FORECAST (26 DECEMBER - 25 JANUARY)
Disturbed Periods: 
27-28 Dec unsettled to active, minor storm periods
03 Jan active period possible
11-12 Jan active periods possible
15-17 jan active conditions , minor storm periods possible.

Best Quiet Periods: 
30Dec - 02 Jan
5-9 Jan


PEASE NOTE:  
At this time of the solar cycle, space weather conditions 
are frequently determined by short timescale events, not 
able to be forecasted a week in advance. 

IPS Radio and Space Services      | email: asfc at ips.gov.au
PO Box 1386                       | WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA     | FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au 
tel: +61 2 9213 8010              | fax: +61 2 9213 8060