[Ips-wgr] IPS Weekly Geo. Report (19 December 02)

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS WEEKLY GEOPHYSICAL REPORT 
ISSUED ON 19 DECEMBER 2002, BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES,
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE

1. SUMMARY (10 DECEMBER - 18 DECEMBER)
K indices are in UT (0-24). For conversion to local time:
AEST = UT + 10 hours; ACST = UT + 9.5 hours; AWST = UT + 8 hours
        Australian Region*              
 Date     K-INDICES    A               
 10 Dec   2322 1122    7     
 11 Dec   1332 1113    8     
 12 Dec   2211 1211    4    
 13 Dec   2101 1122    4    
 14 Dec   2323 2334   13    
 15 Dec   3222 3223   10    
 16 Dec   2122 2213    7    
 17 Dec   3211 1113    6    
 18 Dec   2222 2123    7    

*estimated from real time data

Mild activity observed 14-15 Dec due to coronal hole.

2. FORECAST (19 DECEMBER - 18 JANUARY)
Moderately Disturbed Periods: 
19-20 Dec (activity expected to start on 18 Dec yet to show)

Mildly Disturbed Periods: 
27-29 Dec active periods possible
03-04 Jan active period possible 
10-11 Jan active periods possible

Best Quiet Periods: 
23-25 Dec
30 Dec - 02 Jan
05-09 Jan


PEASE NOTE:  
At this time of the solar cycle, space weather conditions 
are frequently determined by short timescale events, not 
able to be forecasted a week in advance. 

IPS Radio and Space Services      | email: asfc at ips.gov.au
PO Box 1386                       | WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA     | FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au 
tel: +61 2 9213 8010              | fax: +61 2 9213 8060