[Ips-wgr] IPS Weekly Geo. Report (15 August 02)

[rwc]

B
SUBJ: IPS WEEKLY GEOPHYSICAL REPORT 
ISSUED ON 15 AUGUST 2002, BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES,
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE

1. SUMMARY (06 AUGUST - 14 AUGUST)
K indices are in UT (0-24). For conversion to local time:
AEST = UT + 10 hours; ACST = UT + 9.5 hours; AWST = UT + 8 hours
        Australian Region*              
 Date     K-INDICES    A               
 06 Aug   2210 1012    3     
 07 Aug   2111 2112    4     
 08 Aug   1111 1112    3    
 09 Aug   2232 3333   12    
 10 Aug   3323 2123   10    
 11 Aug   1323 4323   13    
 12 Aug   2333 3223   12    
 13 Aug   2322 1122    7    
 14 Aug   2222 3333   11    

*estimated from real time data

No significant disturbances during week. A weak
coronal hole induced period of activity observed 09-12 Aug.

2. FORECAST (15 AUGUST - 14 SEPTEMBER)
Disturbed Periods: 
   16 Aug: Active to minor storm (CME)
23-24 Aug: Unsettled to active (coronal hole)
28-30 Aug: Unsettled to active (coronal hole)

Note: coronal mass ejection induced activity possible
this week due to active solar regions.

Best Quiet Periods: 
19-21 Aug
31 Aug-04 Sep.


PEASE NOTE:  
At this time of the solar cycle, space weather conditions 
are frequently determined by short timescale events, not 
able to be forecasted a week in advance. 

IPS Radio and Space Services      | email: asfc at ips.gov.au
PO Box 1386                       | WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au/asfc
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA     | FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au/users/asfc/ 
tel: +61 2 9213 8010              | fax: +61 2 9213 8060