[Ips-wgr] IPS Weekly Geo. Report (11 October 01)

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS WEEKLY GEOPHYSICAL REPORT 
ISSUED ON 11 OCTOBER 2001, BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES,
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE

1. SUMMARY (02 OCTOBER - 10 OCTOBER)
K indices are in UT (0-24). For conversion to local time:
AEST = UT + 10 hours; ACST = UT + 9.5 hours; AWST = UT + 8 hours
        Australian Region*              
 Date     K-INDICES    A               
 02 Oct   3364 3345   30     
 03 Oct   4355 6545   42  
 04 Oct   3235 3324   18    
 05 Oct   2122 1233    8    
 06 Oct   2232 2111    6    
 07 Oct   1110 1102    2    
 08 Oct   2223 3334   13    
 09 Oct   3223 3322   11    
 10 Oct   1122 2223    7    

*estimated from real time data

Disturbed conditions observed on 02-03 Oct due to mass ejection activity.
A weak (24nT) impulse was observed at 0844UT on 03 Oct. 

2. FORECAST (11 OCTOBER - 10 NOVEMBER)
Disturbed Periods: 
12-13 Oct: Active to minor storm periods, chance isolated major storm. (CME)
   20 Oct: Unsettled to active. (coronal hole)
23-26 Oct: Unsettled to active (coronal hole)

Best Quiet Periods: 
15-19 Oct
01-04 Nov

PEASE NOTE:  
At this time of the solar cycle, space weather conditions 
are frequently determined by short timescale events, not 
able to be forecasted a week in advance. 

IPS Radio and Space Services      | email: asfc at ips.gov.au
PO Box 1386                       | WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au/asfc
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA     | FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au/users/asfc/ 
tel: +61 2 9213 8010              | fax: +61 2 9213 8060