[ips-sf] ASWFC Summary Forecast for 10 January - issued 2125UT/09-Jan-2023 [SEC=OFFICIAL]

[rwc]

An R3 (X1.9) short duration flare was observed at 09/1850UT. A fadeout
was observed at Niue 09/1850-1920UT. The flare was impulsive implying
a CME is unlikely, also the region that produced the flare is
currently located at non geoeffective far eastern solar longitude.
Solar activity on UT day 10-Jan is expected to be at R1-R2 levels,
with the chance of further isolated R3 events. There are currently
three solar regions capable of producing R1-R2 flares. The solar wind
speed is expected to be light. G0 geomagnetic conditions are expected.
Australian region maximum usable frequencies are expected to be near
predicted monthly values to 15% enhanced. Shortwave fadeouts are
probable.

Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre
Bureau of Meteorology
ASWFC at bom.gov.au
www.bom.gov.au | www.sws.bom.gov.au