[ips-sf] IPS Summary Forecast for 05 March - issued 2355UT/04-Mar-2016 [SEC=UNCLASSIFIED]

[rwc]

Solar activity on UT day 4 March was at very low levels with only one
weak C-class flare from the west limb of the solar disk. This event
seem to have triggered a Coronal Mass Ejections (CME). More updates on
this event will be provided upon further investigation. Another CME
associated with 3rd March eruptive filament from near solar centre
could have an impact at earth on around UT day 6 March. Unfortunately,
the satellite imagery data were missing for the time interval relevant
to this event, so we cannot provide further confirmation. The solar
wind has gradually declined from ~430 km/s to ~300 km/s during the
past 24 hrs in response to the waning effects of the northern
hemisphere coronal hole. However, the solar wind are expected to
increase again on UT day 5 March as a small equatorial coronal hole
moves into a geoeffective location on the solar disk. Mostly quiet to
unsettled geomagnetic conditions are expected over the next 24 hours
as the equatorial coronal effects commence. HF conditions are expected
to be near monthly predicted values for the next 24 hours.

Space Weather Services              email: asfc at ips.gov.au
Bureau of Meteorology
PO Box 1386                         WWW: http://www.sws.bom.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp-out.sws.bom.gov.au
tel: +61 2 9213 8010                fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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