[ips-sf] IPS Summary Forecast for 19 September - issued 0005UT/19-Sep-2015

rwc rwc at ips.gov.au
Sat Sep 19 10:05:23 EST 2015


Solar activity is expected to be mostly low with the small chance of
M-class flares. Mildly elevated solar wind speeds are expected to
continue to persist over the next few days. A CME observed in
association with a long duration C2.6 flare from region 2415 was
primarily directed down out of the ecliptic plane and may have a
glancing impact late on 20 September. Isolated active and minor storm
periods at high latitudes are possible as lingering coronal effects
subside slowly otherwise conditions should be mostly quiet to
unsettled for 19-20 September with a possible increase late on 20
September due to the anticipated glancing CME impact. Mildly degraded
HF conditions are expected to continue over the next few days
primarily due to low levels of ionising solar radiation. There is the
small chance of SWFs.

Space Weather Services              email: asfc at ips.gov.au
Bureau of Meteorology
PO Box 1386                         WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au 
tel: +61 2 9213 8010                fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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