[ips-sf] IPS Summary Forecast for 28 October - issued 0123UT/28-Oct-2013

rwc rwc at ips.gov.au
Mon Oct 28 12:23:36 EST 2013


Solar flare activity is at moderate levels. There are presently four M
flare producing sunspot regions visible that have potential to produce
further M class flares over the coming days with a slight chance of an
isolated X-class flare. Several CMEs are in flight towards the Earth,
launched from previous flares. These CMEs are expected to arrive at
Earth during the next 12-24 hours. This may lead to active geomagnetic
conditions during the next 48 hours. Depending on the orientation of
the interplanetary magnetic field, there is a chance of a minor
geomagnetic storm with aurora visible low on the horizon from Southern
Tasmania. MUFs expected to be near predicted monthly values with a
chance of depressed periods for Southern AUS/NZ regions. Short wave
fadeouts possible with a reasonable chance of M flares from solar
active regions.

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