[ips-sf] IPS Summary Forecast for 02 October - issued 0329UT/02-Oct-2013

[rwc]

A very large filament erupted from the northwest quadrant of the solar
disc early in the morning of 01 October. This activity was associated
with a halo coronal mass ejection (CME) which indicates it is
Earthward bound for at least a glancing blow. The CME has arrived
earlier then expected, 0158UT 02 October. Due to the size and mass of
the erupting filament there is a good chance for auroral activity in
the southern Australian regions tonight and tomorrow. Flare activity
was very low over the last 24 hours. The solar wind is presently
light, but is expected to increase in a couple days with the pending
activity. Geomagnetic activity is mostly quiet at this time and
high-frequency radio communications are normal for the Australian
region. However, there is a polar cap absorption in progress due to
high energy protons be driven to the polar regions that is associated
with the activity mentioned above.

IPS Radio and Space Services        email: asfc at ips.gov.au
PO Box 1386                         WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au 
tel: +61 2 9213 8010                fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

IMPORTANT: This e-mail, including any attachments, may contain,
confidential or copyright information.  The views expressed in 
this message are those of the individual sender, unless 
specifically stated to be the views of IPS.  If you are not 
the intended recipient, please contact the sender immediately 
and delete all copies of this e-mail and attachments. 
To unsubscribe from an IPS mail list either send an email to 
"MAIL_LIST"-leave at ips.gov.au or go to
http://listserver.ips.gov.au/mailman/listinfo/"MAIL_LIST".
Information about training can be obtained from
http://listserver.ips.gov.au/mailman/listinfo/ips-training.
General information is available from
http://listserver.ips.gov.au/mailman/listinfo/ips-info.