[Ips-msgr] IPS Monthly Report - June 04

rwc rwc at ips.gov.au
Wed Jul 7 09:01:28 EST 2004


SUBJ: IPS MONTHLY SUMMARY - JUNE 2004
ISSUED BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE

1.     SOLAR-GEOPHYSICAL INDICES

              SOLAR    AUST       AUST
Day      10 cm flux   A-INDEX   T INDEX
01-Jun          90       13       45
02-Jun          90       10       63
03-Jun          90        6       60
04-Jun          89        7       58
05-Jun          85        6       56
06-Jun          88        9       68
07-Jun          89        7       54
08-Jun          86        9       58
09-Jun          85       11       56
10-Jun          83        8       50
11-Jun          84        4       51
12-Jun          88        2       50
13-Jun          95        3       47
14-Jun         100        7       56
15-Jun         109       11       51
16-Jun         112        6       47
17-Jun         111        5       49
18-Jun         108        6       51
19-Jun         113        3       58
20-Jun         119        1       43
21-Jun         116        2       44
22-Jun         117        1       44
23-Jun         113        0       56
24-Jun         108        3       52
25-Jun         103        1       48
26-Jun          99        3       50
27-Jun          97        2       61
28-Jun          89        7       50
29-Jun          85       14       58
30-Jun          82        9       42


          10 CM    SUNSPOT  SUNSPOT  AUST     AUST     No of
          FLUX     NUMBER   NUMBER   A-INDEX  T INDEX  FLARES
          Monthly  Monthly  Yearly   Monthly  Monthly  >M1.0 
Month     Average  Average  Average  Average  Average 
Jun 03     129.4     77.4     65.3     16.3     75.4   43
Jul 03     127.8     85.0     62.1     13.3     76.7    7
Aug 03     122.1     72.7     60.3     16.2     68.4    4
Sep 03     112.3     48.8     59.8     14.5     67.0    1
Oct 03     153.1     65.6     58.4     23.6     66.6   45
Nov 03     140.8     67.2     57.0     20.1     70.6   29
Dec 03     115.1     47.0     55.0     13.0     74.2    6
Jan 04     114.1     37.2     51.6p    17.0     46.5   12
Feb 04     107.8     46.0     48.1p    10.0     54.9    3
Mar 04     112.2     48.9     46.1p     9.8     63.2    4
Apr 04     101.3     39.3     44.3p     8.0     60.8    7
May 04      99.7     41.5     41.6p     6.4     51.8    1
Jun 04      97.4     43.2     39.6p     5.9     52.5    1


               Monthly T indices
       Jan   Feb   Mar   Apr   May   Jun   Jul   Aug   Sep   Oct   Nov   Dec
1998    40    41    43    56    46    56    76    75    86    70    74    93  
1999    94    81    89    77    98   124   124   105    89    92   123   113  
2000   108   120   157   152   129   130   146   138   123   129   136   141  
2001   130   131   135   123   112   132   112   113   144   151   156   162  
2002   175   173   167   139   129   120   112   124   128   110   110   120  
2003   111    93    83    73    62    68    75    59*   60*   65*   63*   69* 
2004    49*   46*   57*   52*   39*   42^   39^   37^   35^   33^   31^   29^ 
2005    28^   27^   25^   24^   22^   21^   20^   19^   18^   17^   16^   15^ 
2006    14^   13^   13^   12^   11^   10^   10^    9^    9^    8^    8^    8^ 
2007     7^    7^    8^    8^    8^    9^   10^   10^   11^   11^   12^   13^ 
2008    14^   15^   16^   17^   19^   20^   23^   25^   28^   31^   35^   38^ 
2009    42^   45^   49^   52^   55^   58^   62^   65^   68^   70^   73^   75^ 
2010    78^   80^   83^   85^   89^   92^   94^   97^  100^  103^  105^  108^ 
2011   110^  112^  113^  114^  115^  115^  115^  115^  115^  114^  113^  113^ 
2012   112^  111^  110^  110^  109^  109^  108^  108^  107^  107^  107^  106^ 
2013   105^  104^  103^  101^  100^   97^   95^   93^   90^   87^   84^   81^ 
2014    78^   76^   73^   70^   68^   66^   64^   62^   61^   59^   58^   56^ 
* = New data. T index may have changed.
^ = IPS predicted T index.

The IPS Monthly T-index is derived from the observed monthly 
median values of foF2 for each hour at up to 40 ionospheric 
stations worldwide.  These records become available from IPS 
stations in Australia very soon after each month, but the 
majority are received up to one year later.  This means that 
the exact observed value of the monthly T-index is not 
available until some months later.
 
The predicted smoothed monthly T-indices are computed by 
using a statistical analysis of the observed monthly T-indices 
for all solar cycles since 1938.  The IPS T-indices may not be 
updated each month but only when sufficient new 
data becomes available.


===============================================================================

2.     FLARES AND SHORT-WAVE FADEOUTS 
DATE             CLASS M    CLASS X     FLARE     FADEOUT POSSIBLE ON
                 FLARES     FLARES      MAX       DAYLIGHT HF CIRCUIT
13 Jun 04	 M1.0               	1156UT


2.1     Comments on Solar Activity.
Solar activity was at mostly very low to low levels during the month
of June. Only 1 low level M class xray flare was observed during
the month, an M1 flare on 13 June. The transit of Venus across the solar
disk was observed on 8 June. Real time images of the transit were available 
on the IPS website from both IPS/USAF Learmonth Observatory and IPS Culgoora 
Observatory during daylight hours of the transit.


===============================================================================

3.     GEOMAGNETIC DISTURBANCES              (for Australian Region)

No significant geomagnetic disturbances were observed during the month of June.

===============================================================================

4.     IONOSPHERIC DISTURBANCES              (for Australian Region)

No significant ionospheric depressions were observed in the regional
Australian/New Zealand ionosphere during the month of June.

===============================================================================

5.     IPS WARNINGS AND ALERTS ISSUED

WARNINGS:
HF RADIO WARNING:
ISSUE DATE      NO       BEGIN           END
08 Jun 04	25	10 Jun 04	11 Jun 04



GEOMAGNETIC WARNING:
ISSUE DATE      NO       BEGIN           END
08 Jun 04	18	09 Jun 04	10 Jun 04


ALERTS: 
13 Jun 04: Flare Alert
15 Jun 04: Geomagnetic


SWF ALERTS AND DURATION REPORTS
DATE	SWF BEGIN-END (UT)
None Issued.


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