[Ips-msgr] IPS Monthly Report - July 01

rwc rwc at ips.gov.au
Thu Aug 2 11:06:39 EST 2001


SUBJ: IPS MONTHLY SUMMARY - JULY 2001
ISSUED BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE

1.     SOLAR-GEOPHYSICAL INDICES

             SOLAR    AUST       AUST
Day       10 cm flux   A-INDEX   T INDEX
01-Jul         135        4      127
02-Jul         134        3      135
03-Jul         132        6      121
04-Jul         127        5      133
05-Jul         120       10      125
06-Jul         116        5      125
07-Jul         118        4      124
08-Jul         126        9      112
09-Jul         130        5      130
10-Jul         130        8      106
11-Jul         132        4      124
12-Jul         134        6      110
13-Jul         133        3      117
14-Jul         141        8      120
15-Jul         142        5      106
16-Jul         150        8      114
17-Jul         146        9      118
18-Jul         143        8      113
19-Jul         142        7      103
20-Jul         143        4      108
21-Jul         139        3       98
22-Jul         140        5      112
23-Jul         143        5      102
24-Jul         133        7      102
25-Jul         133       18      102
26-Jul         123        8      113
27-Jul         121        5      102
28-Jul         116        1      103
29-Jul         117        4       97
30-Jul         115        4      102
31-Jul         117       19      119


          10 CM    SUNSPOT  SUNSPOT  AUST     AUST     No of
          FLUX     NUMBER   NUMBER   A-INDEX  T INDEX  FLARES
          Monthly  Monthly  Yearly   Monthly  Monthly  >M1.0 
Month     Average  Average  Average  Average  Average 
Jul 00     200.0    169.1    119.6     12.8    147.3   54
Aug 00     163.1    130.5    118.4     10.7    145.9    3
Sep 00     182.1    109.9    116.1     13.1    132.1   15
Oct 00     167.8    100.1    114.4     12.0    133.4   11
Nov 00     178.8    106.5    112.7     14.4    135.4   23
Dec 00     173.0    104.5    112.1      8.2    143.0    7
Jan 01     166.7     95.1    108.8      8.4    139.2    8
Feb 01     147.3     80.1    104.4p     7.0    137.2    1
Mar 01     177.7    114.2    103.7p    14.0    142.6   36
Apr 01     178.3    108.2    104.1p    14.4    129.4   45
May 01     148.7     97.3    104.4p     7.1    118.0   11
Jun 01     173.7    134.0    104.4p     5.9    135.8   13
Jul 01     131.3     82.2    104.8p     6.5    113.6    2

               Monthly T indices
       Jan   Feb   Mar   Apr   May   Jun   Jul   Aug   Sep   Oct   Nov   Dec
1992   153   172   155   134    95    80    88    66    68    66    84    90  
1993    74    77    79    63    63    64    62    50    37    40    34    43  
1994    57    41    42    26    15    14    23    18    20    20    20    20  
1995    24    33    23    13     3    11    13    10    13     9    13     7  
1996    12     7     4     2     5     2     3     4     4     3    11    15  
1997    14    11    10     8    11     5     9    17    32    27    28    38  
1998    40    41    43    56    46    56    76    75    86    69    74    93  
1999    94    82    89    78   100   124*  125   106    89    91   123*  113  
2000   108   120*  158*  154*  134*  133*  147*  140   124   131   137   140* 
2001   130*  128*  145*  122*  113*  114^  111^  109^  106^  102^  100^   99^ 
2002    98^   96^   94^   93^   91^   88^   86^   84^   81^   79^   76^   74^ 
2003    71^   69^   66^   64^   61^   59^   57^   54^   52^   49^   47^   45^ 
2004    43^   41^   39^   37^   35^   33^   31^   29^   28^   26^   24^   23^ 
2005    21^   20^   19^   17^   16^   15^   14^   13^   12^   11^   10^    9^ 
2006     8^    8^    7^    6^    6^    5^    5^    5^    4^    4^    4^    4^ 
2007     4^    5^    5^    6^    7^    8^    9^   11^   13^   16^   18^   21^ 
2008    25^   28^   32^   36^   41^   45^   50^   54^   59^   64^   68^   73^ 
* = New data. T index may have changed.
^ = IPS predicted T index.

The predicted smoothed monthly T-indices are computed by 
using a statistical analysis of the observed monthly T-indices 
for all solar cycles since 1938.  The IPS T-indices may not be 
updated each month but only when sufficient new 
data becomes available.


===============================================================================

2.     FLARES AND SHORT-WAVE FADEOUTS 
DATE             CLASS M    CLASS X     FLARE     FADEOUT POSSIBLE ON
                 FLARES     FLARES      MAX       DAYLIGHT HF CIRCUIT
16 Jul 01	 M1.2/1N            	0320UT
19 Jul 01	 M1.8/1B            	1004UT


2.1     Comments on Solar Activity.
Solar activity was at mostly low levels this month. Moderate
activity was observed on 16 and 19 July due to low level
M class flares.

===============================================================================

3.     GEOMAGNETIC DISTURBANCES              (for Australian Region)

DATE                     COMMENTS
25 Jul 01:     Active to Minor Storm periods.
31 Jul 01:     Active periods.

Two moderately distrubed days were observed this month. 
Both disturbances are believed to be due to coronal holes.
Weaker coronal hole recurrent patterns caused 
unsettled activity on 05 and 16 July.

===============================================================================

4.     IONOSPHERIC DISTURBANCES              (for Australian Region)
No significant depressions were observed in the Aus/NZ region
this month. Mildly degraded HF conditions may have been 
experienced on 25 and 31 July in association with mild
geomagnetic activity.

===============================================================================

5.     IPS WARNINGS AND ALERTS ISSUED

WARNINGS:
HF RADIO WARNING:
ISSUE DATE      NO       BEGIN           END
None.


GEOMAGNETIC WARNING:
ISSUE DATE      NO       BEGIN           END
31 Jul 01	23	01 Aug 01	01 Aug 01


ALERTS: 
16 Jul 01: Flare Alert
19 Jul 01: Flare Alert
25 Jul 01: Geomagnetic


SWF ALERTS AND DURATION REPORTS
DATE	SWF BEGIN-END (UT)
None.


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