[Ips-hf-warning] IPS HF COMMS WARNING issued 0012 UT on 27 Aug 2015

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS HF RADIO COMMUNICATIONS WARNING 15/42
ISSUED AT 0012UT/27 AUGUST 2015
BY THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE.

Depressed MUF's expected for the next three days due slow ionospheric 
recovery from recent geomagnetic activity, low levels of ionising 
solar flux and a coronal hole high speed solar wind stream influence 
on the solar wind between 27Aug-28Aug.

DEGRADED HF PROPAGATION CONDITIONS EXPECTED
FROM 27-29 AUGUST 2015
IF COMMS DIFFICULTIES EXPERIENCED TRY A LOWER FREQUENCY BAND
_____________________________________________________________

HF COMMUNICATIONS FORECAST (AUSTRALIAN/NEW ZEALAND REGION)
                                   FREQUENCY BANDS
       T-index      MUFs        2  4  6  8 12 16 22 26
_____________________________________________________________
27 Aug:   35          -20%      2  4  6  8  8 12 16 16
28 Aug:   35          -18%      2  4  6  8  8 12 16 22
29 Aug:   40          -20%      2  4  6  8  8 12 16 16

Note:
An IPS MUF depression HF Warning and IPS shortwave fadeout 
HF Warning are both current. Shortwave fadeouts degrade 
lower shortwave radio frequencies first (through increased 
ionospheric absorption) and the usual strategy during shortwave 
fadeouts is to try a higher frequency. In contrast, during 
periods of ionospheric MUF depression, the upper frequencies 
are degraded first and the usual strategy is to use a 
lower frequency. 

In general use a lower frequency if you are having trouble
with your normal workable frequency.

If a shortwave fadeout occurs during a period when ionospheric 
MUFs are depressed the available HF bandwidth will be "squeezed", 
with increased absorption raising the lowest usable frequency 
and the ionospheric depression lowering the highest usable 
frequency. Under such conditions it is suggested that the 
HF communicator operates on the highest usable frequency, 
even though this may well be in fact lower than what is normally 
supported for that particular circuit.

Space Weather Services              email: asfc at ips.gov.au
Bureau of Meteorology
PO Box 1386                         WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au 
tel: +61 2 9213 8010                fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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