[Ips-geo-warning] SWS GEOMAGNETIC WARNING issued 0513 UT on 13 May 2019

[rwc]

SUBJ: SWS GEOMAGNETIC DISTURBANCE WARNING 19/11
ISSUED AT 0512UT/13 MAY 2019
BY THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE.

Two slow moving CMEs originating from disappearing solar filaments 
are expected to impact the Earth around 05UT on 15 May and 09UT 
on 16 May, respectively. The CMEs originated from the centre 
of the visible solar disk and hence the likelihood of impact 
at Earth is high. As a result, the global geomagnetic activity 
is expected to reach Minor Storm levels on UT days 15-17 May. 
Isolated Major Storm levels are also possible, if IMF turned 
southward for sustained periods. Auroral displays over southern 
Australian regions are likely, particularly for Tasmania, on 
the local nights of 15 and 16 May.

INCREASED GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY EXPECTED 
DUE TO CORONAL MASS EJECTION
FROM 15-17 MAY 2019
_____________________________________________________________

GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY FORECAST
15 May:  Quiet to Minor Storm
16 May:  Minor to Major Storm 
17 May:  Initially Minor then Quiet

Space Weather Services              email: asfc at bom.gov.au
Bureau of Meteorology
PO Box 1386                         WWW: http://www.sws.bom.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp-out.sws.bom.gov.au
tel: +61 2 9213 8010                fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

IMPORTANT: This e-mail, including any attachments, may contain,
confidential or copyright information.  The views expressed in 
this message are those of the individual sender, unless 
specifically stated to be the views of SWS.  If you are not 
the intended recipient, please contact the sender immediately 
and delete all copies of this e-mail and attachments. 
To unsubscribe from an IPS mail list either send an email to 
"MAIL_LIST"-leave at ips.gov.au or go to
http://www.sws.bom.gov.au/mailman/listinfo/"MAIL_LIST".
Information about training can be obtained from
http://www.sws.bom.gov.au/mailman/listinfo/ips-training.
General information is available from
http://www.sws.bom.gov.au/mailman/listinfo/ips-info.