[Ips-dsgr] IPS Daily Report - 09 May 08

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS DAILY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT
ISSUED AT 09/2330Z MAY 2008 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
SUMMARY FOR 09 MAY AND FORECAST FOR 10 MAY - 12 MAY
STATUS INDICATORS SOL:GREEN   MAG:GREEN     ION: GREEN
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1A. SOLAR SUMMARY
Activity 09 May:  Very low

Flares: none.

Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number for 09 May:  67/0

1B. SOLAR FORECAST
             10 May             11 May             12 May
Activity     Very low           Very low           Very low
Fadeouts     None expected      None expected      None expected
10.7cm/SSN    68/2               70/5               70/5

COMMENT: Solar activity remains very low. Solar wind velocity 
continued to decrease from 460 km/s to 400km/s. IMF Bz mainly 
near zero or north, not conducive to geomagnetic merging. No 
upcoming coronal holes evident in SOHO spacecraft images. No 
spots presently visible on the solar disk at this time. 

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2A. MAGNETIC SUMMARY

Geomagnetic field for Australian Region 09 May: Quiet 

Estimated Indices 09 May :  A   K           
   Australian Region       3   21111011
      Darwin               3   21111111
      Townsville           6   22221122
      Learmonth            1   11110001
      Camden               1   11100000
      Canberra             1   11100001
      Hobart               2   20111011
      Casey(Ant)           6   23311111
    
Observed Regional daily pc3 Indices 09 May : 
      Darwin               0   (Quiet)
      Townsville           0   (Quiet)
      Learmonth            0   (Quiet)
      Alice_Springs        0   (Quiet)
      Culgoora             0   (Quiet)
      Camden               6   (Quiet)
      Gnangara             0   (Quiet)
      Canberra             0   (Quiet)
      Hobart               2   (Quiet)
Pc3 pulsations are high frequency (10-45 second period) variations 
of the Earths magnetic field. Daily pc3-indices are the daily sum 
of 20 minute pc3-indices for that station and have been shown to be
well correlated with rejection of high resolution aeromagnetic
survey flight-line data. 

NOTE: Indices may have been generated from data obtained in 
cooperation with the following organisations: Geoscience Australia, 
University of Newcastle Space Physics Group, Australian Government 
Antarctic Division and Space Environment Research Center, Japan.

Estimated AFr/Ap Indices 09 May : A 
           Fredericksburg         3
           Planetary              5                         

Observed AFr/Ap Indices 08 May :  A   K
           Fredericksburg         3
           Planetary              4   2122 1011     

2B. MAGNETIC FORECAST 
Date      Ap    Conditions
10 May     6    Quiet 
11 May     4    Quiet 
12 May     6    Quiet 


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3A. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION SUMMARY
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
09 May      Normal         Normal         Normal         
PCA Event : No event.

3B. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION FORECAST
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
10 May      Normal         Normal         Normal
11 May      Normal         Normal         Normal
12 May      Normal         Normal         Normal

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4A. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC SUMMARY

Date   T index
09 May     1

Observed Australian Regional MUFs
   Equatorial PNG/Niue Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values,
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

Predicted Monthly T index for May:   6

4B. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC FORECAST
Date   T index  MUFs
10 May     5    near predicted monthly values 
11 May     5    Near predicted monthly values 
12 May     5    Near predicted monthly values 

COMMENT: Sporadic E noted throughout the UT day at Nuie. 
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5. SPACE ENVIRONMENT SUMMARY

GOES satellite data for 08 May
       Daily Proton Fluence >1 MeV:   1.8E+06
       Daily Proton Fluence >10 MeV:  1.7E+04
       Daily Electron Fluence >2 MeV: 1.90E+08   (moderate fluence)   
Electron Fluence Daily Deep Dielectric Discharge Probability:15%
Fluence (flux accumulation over 24hrs)/ cm2-ster-day.
       X-ray background: A1.0

ACE Satellite Solar Wind Day Averaged Data for 08 May
Speed: 482 km/sec  Density:    0.8 p/cc  Temp:    85200 K  Bz:   0 nT

(Courtesy Space Environment Center, Boulder USA)
ACE data can be incorrect during strong proton events.
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