[Ips-dsgr] IPS Daily Report - 30 August 08

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS DAILY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT
ISSUED AT 30/2330Z AUGUST 2008 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
SUMMARY FOR 30 AUGUST AND FORECAST FOR 31 AUGUST - 02 SEPTEMBER
STATUS INDICATORS SOL:GREEN   MAG:GREEN     ION: GREEN
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1A. SOLAR SUMMARY
Activity 30 Aug:  Very low

Flares: none.

Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number for 30 Aug:  67/0


1B. SOLAR FORECAST
             31 Aug             01 Sep             02 Sep
Activity     Very low           Very low           Very low
Fadeouts     None expected      None expected      None expected
10.7cm/SSN    67/0               67/0               67/0

COMMENT: No active regions on the visible solar disk. Solar wind 
remains slow and the IMF relatively stable. 

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2A. MAGNETIC SUMMARY

Geomagnetic field for Australian Region 30 Aug: Quiet 

Estimated Indices 30 Aug :  A   K           
   Australian Region       2   11111011
      Darwin               4   22111111
      Townsville           6   12222122
      Learmonth            1   11110000
      Camden               2   11111001
      Canberra             1   11010001
      Hobart               1   10111001
      Casey(Ant)           3   22211010
    
Observed Regional daily pc3 Indices 30 Aug : 
      Darwin               0   (Quiet)
      Townsville           0   (Quiet)
      Learmonth            0   (Quiet)
      Alice_Springs        0   (Quiet)
      Camden               4   (Quiet)
      Gnangara            11   (Quiet)
      Canberra             0   (Quiet)
      Hobart              24   (Quiet to unsettled)
Pc3 pulsations are high frequency (10-45 second period) variations 
of the Earths magnetic field. Daily pc3-indices are the daily sum 
of 20 minute pc3-indices for that station and have been shown to be
well correlated with rejection of high resolution aeromagnetic
survey flight-line data. 

NOTE: Indices may have been generated from data obtained in 
cooperation with the following organisations: Geoscience Australia, 
University of Newcastle Space Physics Group, Australian Government 
Antarctic Division and Space Environment Research Center, Japan.


Estimated AFr/Ap Indices 30 Aug : A 
           Fredericksburg         5
           Planetary              5                         

Observed AFr/Ap Indices 29 Aug :  A   K
           Fredericksburg         2
           Planetary              3   1100 1111     


2B. MAGNETIC FORECAST 
Date      Ap    Conditions
31 Aug     2    Quiet 
01 Sep     2    Quiet 
02 Sep     3    Quiet 

COMMENT: The geomagnetic field was quiet over the UT day. Expect 
Quiet conditions next three days. 

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3A. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION SUMMARY
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
30 Aug      Normal         Normal         Normal         
PCA Event : No event.

3B. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION FORECAST
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
31 Aug      Normal         Normal         Normal
01 Sep      Normal         Normal         Normal
02 Sep      Normal         Normal         Normal

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4A. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC SUMMARY


Date   T index
30 Aug    -0

Observed Australian Regional MUFs
   Equatorial PNG/Niue Region:
      Depressed by 15% during local day,
      Near predicted monthly vaules during local night. 
   Northern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 20% during local day,
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Enhanced by 25% over the UT day.

Predicted Monthly T index for August:   2

4B. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC FORECAST
Date   T index  MUFs
31 Aug    -2    Near predicted monthly values 
01 Sep    -2    Near predicted monthly values 
02 Sep    -2    Near predicted monthly values 

COMMENT: Ionospheric conditions were mostly normal over the UT 
day. Some variable depressions were seen in the Equatorial/N 
Aus regions during the local day. Expect mostly normal conditions 
next three days with continuing daytime depressions in the
Equatorial/N Aus region. 

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5. SPACE ENVIRONMENT SUMMARY

GOES satellite data for 29 Aug
       Daily Proton Fluence >1 MeV:   9.4E+05
       Daily Proton Fluence >10 MeV:  2.0E+04
       Daily Electron Fluence >2 MeV: 1.20E+07   (normal fluence)   
Electron Fluence Daily Deep Dielectric Discharge Probability: 2%
Fluence (flux accumulation over 24hrs)/ cm2-ster-day.
       X-ray background: A1.0

ACE Satellite Solar Wind Day Averaged Data for 29 Aug
Speed: 341 km/sec  Density:    4.8 p/cc  Temp:    43300 K  Bz:   2 nT

(Courtesy Space Environment Center, Boulder USA)
ACE data can be incorrect during strong proton events.
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