[Ips-dsgr] IPS Daily Report - 06 August 08
rwc
rwc at ips.gov.au
Thu Aug 7 09:27:13 EST 2008
SUBJ: IPS DAILY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT
ISSUED AT 06/2330Z AUGUST 2008 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
SUMMARY FOR 06 AUGUST AND FORECAST FOR 07 AUGUST - 09 AUGUST
STATUS INDICATORS SOL:GREEN MAG:** YELLOW ** ION: GREEN
-----------------------------------------------------------
1A. SOLAR SUMMARY
Activity 06 Aug: Very low
Flares: None
Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number for 06 Aug: 67/0
1B. SOLAR FORECAST
07 Aug 08 Aug 09 Aug
Activity Very low Very low Very low
Fadeouts None expected None expected None expected
10.7cm/SSN 66/0 66/0 66/0
COMMENT: The solar disk is spotless. The solar wind ranged from
about 290 to 400 km/s over the past 24 hours. A recurrent coronal
hole is located at central meridian.
-----------------------------------------------------------
2A. MAGNETIC SUMMARY
Geomagnetic field for Australian Region 06 Aug: Quiet
Estimated Indices 06 Aug : A K
Australian Region 5 12121221
Darwin 4 22111211
Townsville 7 22222222
Learmonth 4 12111220
Camden 4 11121221
Canberra 4 11121221
Hobart 5 02121222
Casey(Ant) 5 12221221
Observed Regional daily pc3 Indices 06 Aug :
Darwin 0 (Quiet)
Townsville 0 (Quiet)
Learmonth 0 (Quiet)
Alice_Springs 0 (Quiet)
Culgoora 2 (Quiet)
Camden 0 (Quiet)
Gnangara 0 (Quiet)
Canberra 0 (Quiet)
Hobart 0 (Quiet)
Pc3 pulsations are high frequency (10-45 second period) variations
of the Earths magnetic field. Daily pc3-indices are the daily sum
of 20 minute pc3-indices for that station and have been shown to be
well correlated with rejection of high resolution aeromagnetic
survey flight-line data.
NOTE: Indices may have been generated from data obtained in
cooperation with the following organisations: Geoscience Australia,
University of Newcastle Space Physics Group, Australian Government
Antarctic Division and Space Environment Research Center, Japan.
Estimated AFr/Ap Indices 06 Aug : A
Fredericksburg 5
Planetary 5
Observed AFr/Ap Indices 05 Aug : A K
Fredericksburg 3
Planetary 3 1112 1001
2B. MAGNETIC FORECAST
Date Ap Conditions
07 Aug 5 Quiet
08 Aug 8 Mostly quiet to unsettled. Possibility of isolated
active periods later.
09 Aug 20 Mostly unsettled to active. Possibility of isolated
minor storm periods.
COMMENT: Activity is expected to begin increasing on the 8th due to
a recurrent coronal hole.
-----------------------------------------------------------
3A. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION SUMMARY
Latitude Band
Date Low Middle High
06 Aug Normal-fair Normal Normal
PCA Event : No event.
3B. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION FORECAST
Latitude Band
Date Low Middle High
07 Aug Normal Normal Normal
08 Aug Normal Normal Normal-Fair
09 Aug Normal Normal-Fair Fair
-----------------------------------------------------------
4A. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC SUMMARY
Date T index
06 Aug -7
Observed Australian Regional MUFs
Equatorial PNG/Niue Region:
Near predicted monthly values with depressions to 40%
at Vanimo 05-09 and 11-15 UT. Depressions to 30% at
Niue 01-02, 05 and 08 UT. Night spread F observed.
Northern Australian Region:
Near predicted monthly values to 50% enhanced at
Darwin; depressions to 30% 00-06 and 21 UT. For other
stations, near predicted monthly values with
occasional depressions to 30%. Some night spread F
observed at all stations.
Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
Near predicted monthly values. Enhancements to 60%
observed at Christchurch 09-19 UT.
Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
Near predicted monthly values with occasional
depressions to 25%.
Predicted Monthly T index for August: 2
4B. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC FORECAST
Date T index MUFs
07 Aug 0 Mostly near predicted monthly values. Occasional
depressions to 30% possible.
08 Aug 0 Mostly near predicted monthly values. Occasional
depressions to 30% possible.
09 Aug 0 Mostly near predicted monthly values. Occasional
depressions to 30% possible.
-----------------------------------------------------------
5. SPACE ENVIRONMENT SUMMARY
GOES satellite data for 05 Aug
Daily Proton Fluence >1 MeV: 1.9E+06
Daily Proton Fluence >10 MeV: 1.9E+04
Daily Electron Fluence >2 MeV: 1.70E+07 (normal fluence)
Electron Fluence Daily Deep Dielectric Discharge Probability: 3%
Fluence (flux accumulation over 24hrs)/ cm2-ster-day.
X-ray background: A1.0
ACE Satellite Solar Wind Day Averaged Data for 05 Aug
Speed: 313 km/sec Density: 2.9 p/cc Temp: 29200 K Bz: -1 nT
(Courtesy Space Environment Center, Boulder USA)
ACE data can be incorrect during strong proton events.
-----------------------------------------------------------
IPS Radio and Space Services email: asfc at ips.gov.au
PO Box 1386 WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240 AUSTRALIA FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au
tel: +61 2 9213 8010 fax: +61 2 9213 8060
IMPORTANT: This e-mail, including any attachments, may contain,
confidential or copyright information. The views expressed in
this message are those of the individual sender, unless
specifically stated to be the views of IPS. If you are not
the intended recipient, please contact the sender immediately
and delete all copies of this e-mail and attachments.
Occasionally IPS sends email promoting IPS products and
services to its mailing list customers. If you do not wish to
receive this promotional material please email
no-spam at ips.gov.au with the subject header:UNSUBSCRIBE"
More information about the ips-dsgr
mailing list