[Ips-dsgr] IPS Daily Report - 21 June 06

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SUBJ: IPS DAILY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT
ISSUED AT 21/2330Z JUNE 2006 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
SUMMARY FOR 21 JUNE AND FORECAST FOR 22 JUNE - 24 JUNE
STATUS INDICATORS SOL:GREEN   MAG:GREEN     ION: GREEN
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1A. SOLAR SUMMARY
Activity 21 Jun:  Very low

Flares: none.

Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number for 21 Jun:  73/9


1B. SOLAR FORECAST
             22 Jun             23 Jun             24 Jun
Activity     Very low           Very low           Very low
Fadeouts     None expected      None expected      None expected
10.7cm/SSN    75/13              75/13              75/13


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2A. MAGNETIC SUMMARY

Geomagnetic field for Australian Region 21 Jun: Quiet 

Estimated Indices 21 Jun :  A   K           
   Australian Region       1   01000101
      Darwin               1   11100101
      Learmonth            0   00010000
      Culgoora             1   01000101
      Camden               4   11111122
      Canberra             0   00000000
      Hobart               0   00000100
      Casey(Ant)           3   11111111
    
Observed Regional daily pc3 Indices 21 Jun : 
      Canberra             0   (Quiet)
      Learmonth            0   (Quiet)
      Culgoora             0   (Quiet)
      Hobart               0   (Quiet)
Pc3 pulsations are high frequency (10-45 second period) variations 
of the Earths magnetic field. Daily pc3 indices are the daily sum 
of 20 minute pc3 indices for that station. 


Estimated AFr/Ap Indices 21 Jun : A 
           Fredericksburg         3
           Planetary              5                         

Observed AFr/Ap Indices 20 Jun :  A   K
           Fredericksburg         2
           Planetary              4   2100 1122     


2B. MAGNETIC FORECAST 
Date      Ap    Conditions
22 Jun     7    Quiet 
23 Jun     6    Quiet 
24 Jun     7    Quiet 
COMMENT: Quiet conditions are expected. 

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3A. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION SUMMARY
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
21 Jun      Normal         Normal         Normal
PCA Event : No event.

3B. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION FORECAST
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
22 Jun      Normal         Normal         Normal
23 Jun      Normal         Normal         Normal
24 Jun      Normal         Normal         Normal
COMMENT: Generally normal HF conditions expected. 
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4A. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC SUMMARY


Date   T index
21 Jun    18

Observed Australian Regional MUFs
   Equatorial PNG/Niue Region:
     Depressed by 15% during local day,
     Near predicted monthly values during local night.
  Northern Australian Region:
     Near predicted monthly values.
  Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
     Near predicted monthly values during local day,
     Enhanced by 20% during local night.
  Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
     Enhanced by 70% over the UT day.

Predicted Monthly T index for June:  15

4B. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC FORECAST
Date   T index  MUFs
22 Jun    15    Near predicted monthly values 
23 Jun    15    Near predicted monthly values 
24 Jun    15    Near predicted monthly values 

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5. SPACE ENVIRONMENT SUMMARY

GOES satellite data for 20 Jun
       Daily Proton Fluence >1 MeV:   1.4E+06
       Daily Proton Fluence >10 MeV:  1.6E+04
       Daily Electron Fluence >2 MeV: 1.10E+08 (moderate fluence)  
Electron Fluence Daily Deep Dielectric Discharge Probability:11%
Fluence (flux accumulation over 24hrs)/ cm2-ster-day.
       X-ray background: A1.0

ACE Satellite Solar Wind Day Averaged Data for 20 Jun
Speed: 386 km/sec  Density:    1.3 p/cc  Temp:    60800 K  Bz:   1 nT

(Courtesy Space Environment Center, Boulder USA)
ACE data can be incorrect during strong proton events.
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