[Ips-dsgr] IPS Daily Report - 03 December 06

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS DAILY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT
ISSUED AT 03/2330Z DECEMBER 2006 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
SUMMARY FOR 03 DECEMBER AND FORECAST FOR 04 DECEMBER - 06 DECEMBER
STATUS INDICATORS SOL:GREEN   MAG:GREEN     ION: GREEN
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1A. SOLAR SUMMARY
Activity 03 Dec:  Low

Flares: None

Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number for 03 Dec:  87/30

1B. SOLAR FORECAST
             04 Dec             05 Dec             06 Dec
Activity     Low                Low                Low
Fadeouts     None expected      None expected      None expected
10.7cm/SSN    85/27              90/34              90/34

COMMENT: Solar wind speed is currently about 370 km/s. Region 
926 produced a C1 flare at 0325 UT. 

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2A. MAGNETIC SUMMARY

Geomagnetic field for Australian Region 03 Dec: Quiet 

Estimated Indices 03 Dec :  A   K           
   Australian Region       5   22211221
      Darwin               3   21110112
      Townsville           6   22222221
      Learmonth            5   22210222
      Culgoora             5   12211222
      Camden               3   12110111
      Canberra             4   12210211
      Hobart               -   --------
      Casey(Ant)           5   ---21221
    
Observed Regional daily pc3 Indices 03 Dec : 
      Darwin               8   (Quiet)
      Townsville           0   (Quiet)
      Learmonth            0   (Quiet)
      Camden               8   (Quiet)
      Canberra             0   (Quiet)
      Hobart               0   (Quiet)

Pc3 pulsations are high frequency (10-45 second period) variations 
of the Earths magnetic field. Daily pc3-indices are the daily sum 
of 20 minute pc3-indices for that station and have been shown to be
well correlated with rejection of high resolution aeromagnetic
survey flight-line data. 

NOTE: Indices may have been generated from data obtained in 
cooperation with the following organisations: Geoscience Australia, 
University of Newcastle Space Physics Group, Australian Government 
Antarctic Division and Space Environment Research Center, Japan.


Estimated AFr/Ap Indices 03 Dec : A 
           Fredericksburg         3
           Planetary              5                         

Observed AFr/Ap Indices 02 Dec :  A   K
           Fredericksburg         1
           Planetary              2   0010 1001     

2B. MAGNETIC FORECAST 
Date      Ap    Conditions
04 Dec     4    Quiet 
05 Dec     4    Quiet 
06 Dec    10    Mostly quiet to unsettled with isolated active 
                periods. 

COMMENT: A coronal hole is expected to become geo-effective on 
the 6 December. 

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3A. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION SUMMARY
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
03 Dec      Normal         Normal         Normal         
PCA Event : No event.

3B. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION FORECAST
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
04 Dec      Normal         Normal         Normal
05 Dec      Normal         Normal         Normal
06 Dec      Normal         Normal         Normal-Fair

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4A. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC SUMMARY

Date   T index
03 Dec     6

Observed Australian Regional MUFs
   Mostly near predicted monthly values at all latitudes.
   Depressions to 30% observed at Vanimo and Port Moresby
   around 10 to 13 UT.

Predicted Monthly T index for December:   9

4B. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC FORECAST
Date   T index  MUFs
04 Dec     5    Near predicted monthly values 
05 Dec     5    Near predicted monthly values 
06 Dec     5    Near predicted monthly values 

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5. SPACE ENVIRONMENT SUMMARY

GOES satellite data for 02 Dec
       Daily Proton Fluence >1 MeV:   4.1E+05
       Daily Proton Fluence >10 MeV:  1.7E+04
       Daily Electron Fluence >2 MeV: 2.20E+07 (normal fluence)  
Electron Fluence Daily Deep Dielectric Discharge Probability: 4%
Fluence (flux accumulation over 24hrs)/ cm2-ster-day.
       X-ray background: A9.5

ACE Satellite Solar Wind Day Averaged Data for 02 Dec
Speed: NA km/sec  Density:  NA p/cc  Temp:  NA K  Bz:  NA nT

(Courtesy Space Environment Center, Boulder USA)
ACE data can be incorrect during strong proton events.
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