[Ips-dsgr] IPS Daily Report - 05 June 04

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS DAILY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT
ISSUED AT 05/2330Z JUNE 2004 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
SUMMARY FOR 05 JUNE AND FORECAST FOR 06 JUNE - 08 JUNE
STATUS INDICATORS SOL:GREEN   MAG:GREEN     ION: GREEN
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1A. SOLAR SUMMARY
Activity 05 Jun:  Very low

Flares: none.

Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number for 05 Jun:  85/27


1B. SOLAR FORECAST
             06 Jun             07 Jun             08 Jun
Activity     Very low           Very low           Very low
Fadeouts     None expected      None expected      None expected
10.7cm/SSN    85/27              80/20              85/27
COMMENT: Solar wind speeds remained slightly elevated ranging 
from approximately 440km/s to 480km/s. The NS-component of the 
IMF oscillated between approximately +5nT to -5nT. 



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2A. MAGNETIC SUMMARY

Geomagnetic field for Australian Region 05 Jun: Quiet 

Estimated Indices 05 Jun :  A   K           
   Australian Region       6   2212 2222
      Darwin               6   2222 1222
      Townsville           6   1222 2222
      Learmonth            8   1212 2332
      Culgoora             5   2211 2222
      Canberra             7   -311 2223
      Hobart               5   1211 2222
      Casey(Ant)           8   3322 1223
    
Observed Regional daily pc3 Indices 05 JUN : 
      Townsville          22   (Quiet to unsettled)
      Learmonth            4   (Quiet)
      Culgoora            17   (Quiet)
      Canberra            29   (Quiet to unsettled)
      Hobart              39   (Quiet to unsettled)
Pc3 pulsations are high frequency (10-45 second period) variations 
of the Earths magnetic field. Daily pc3 indices are the daily sum 
of 20 minute pc3 indices for that station.

Estimated AFr/Ap Indices 05 Jun : A 
           Fredericksburg         7
           Planetary             10                         

Observed AFr/Ap Indices 04 Jun :  A   K
           Fredericksburg        14
           Planetary             11   3323 3323     


2B. MAGNETIC FORECAST 
Date      Ap    Conditions
06 Jun     6    Quiet 
07 Jun     6    Quiet 
08 Jun     6    Quiet 
COMMENT: Mostly quiet to unsettled conditions expected for the 
next few days. 

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3A. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION SUMMARY
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
05 Jun      Normal         Normal         Normal         
PCA Event : No event.

3B. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION FORECAST
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
06 Jun      Normal         Normal         Normal
07 Jun      Normal         Normal         Normal
08 Jun      Normal         Normal         Normal
COMMENT: Mostly normal HF conditions expected for the next few 
days. 
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4A. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC SUMMARY


Date   T index
05 Jun    56

Observed Australian Regional MUFs
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day,
      Enhanced by 35% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.


Predicted Monthly T index for June:  41

4B. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC FORECAST
Date   T index  MUFs
06 Jun    60    5 to 10% above predicted monthly values 
07 Jun    60    5 to 10% above predicted monthly values 
08 Jun    60    5 to 10% above predicted monthly values 
COMMENT: Mostly normal HF conditions expected for the next few 
days. 
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5. SPACE ENVIRONMENT SUMMARY

GOES satellite data for 04 Jun
       Daily Proton Fluence >1 MeV:   3.6E+05
       Daily Proton Fluence >10 MeV:  1.4E+04
       Daily Electron Fluence >2 MeV: 5.80E+07 (normal)
       X-ray background: A8.5
Fluence (flux accumulation over 24hrs)/ cm2-ster-day.

ACE Satellite Solar Wind Day Averaged Data for 04 Jun
Speed: 472 km/sec  Density:    1.6 p/cc  Temp:    89000 K  Bz:   1 nT

(Courtesy Space Environment Center, Boulder USA)
ACE data can be incorrect during strong proton events.
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