[Ips-dsgr] IPS Daily Report - 08 June 01

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SUBJ: IPS DAILY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT
ISSUED AT 08/2330Z JUNE 2001 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
SUMMARY FOR 08 JUNE AND FORECAST FOR 09 JUNE - 11 JUNE
STATUS INDICATORS SOL:** YELLOW **   MAG:GREEN     ION: GREEN
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1A. SOLAR SUMMARY
Activity 08 Jun:  Moderate

Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
 M1/SF    1927UT  possible   lower  East Pacific/
                                    North American

Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number for 08 Jun: 180/133

GOES satellite data for 07 Jun
       Daily Proton Fluence >1 MeV:   4.4E+05
       Daily Proton Fluence >10 MeV:  1.6E+04
       Daily Electron Fluence >2 MeV: 8.40E+05 (normal)
       X-ray background: B6.6
Fluence (flux accumulation over 24hrs)/ cm2-ster-day.

1B. SOLAR FORECAST
             09 Jun             10 Jun             11 Jun
Activity     Low to moderate    Low to moderate    Low to moderate
Fadeouts     Possible           Possible           Possible
10.7cm/SSN   180/133            185/138            185/138

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2A. MAGNETIC SUMMARY
Geomagnetic field for Australian Region 08 Jun: Quiet 

Estimated Indices 08 Jun :  A   K           
   Australian Region       4   1221 1112
      Darwin               8   2332 1122
      Townsville           1   1010 1011
      Learmonth            9   2332 2223
      Canberra             4   1221 1211
      Hobart               5   1221 2211
    
Observed Regional daily pc3 Indices 08 JUN : 
      Darwin               2   (Quiet)
      Townsville          64   (Active)
      Learmonth            0   (Quiet)
      Canberra             0   (Quiet)
      Hobart              20   (Quiet)

Estimated AFr/Ap Indices 08 Jun : A 
           Fredericksburg        10
           Planetary             10                         

Observed AFr/Ap Indices 07 Jun :  A   K
           Fredericksburg         9
           Planetary             12   2323 3333     


2B. MAGNETIC FORECAST 
Date      Ap    Conditions
09 Jun     8    Quiet to Unsettled 
10 Jun    10    Quiet to Unsettled 
11 Jun    14    Unsettled to Active 
COMMENT: Anticipated coronal hole sourced mild activity has not 
eventuated. 
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3A. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION SUMMARY
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
08 Jun      Normal         Normal         Normal-Fair
PCA Event : No event.

3B. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION FORECAST
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
09 Jun      Normal         Normal         Normal-Fair
10 Jun      Normal         Normal         Normal-Fair
11 Jun      Normal         Normal         Normal-Fair
COMMENT: Mildly degraded HF conditions expected at high latitudes 
only during local night hours. 
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4A. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC SUMMARY
Date   T index
08 Jun   126

Observed Australian Regional MUFs
   Equatorial PNG Region:
     Enhanced by 15% during local day,
     Enhanced by 35% during local night.
  Northern Australian Region:
     Near predicted monthly values.
  Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
     Near predicted monthly values.
     Spread F observed.
  Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
     Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.
     Spread F observed.


Predicted Monthly T index for June: 118

4B. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC FORECAST
Date   T index  MUFs
09 Jun   115    Near predicted monthly values 
10 Jun   115    Near predicted monthly values 
11 Jun   115    Near predicted monthly values 

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