[Ips-dsgr] IPS Daily Report - 05 June 01

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SUBJ: IPS DAILY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT
ISSUED AT 05/2330Z JUNE 2001 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
SUMMARY FOR 05 JUNE AND FORECAST FOR 06 JUNE - 08 JUNE
STATUS INDICATORS SOL:*YELLOW*   MAG:GREEN     ION: GREEN
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1A. SOLAR SUMMARY
Activity 05 Jun:  Moderate

Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
 M2/2N    0451UT  possible   lower  E. Asia/Aust.

Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number for 05 Jun: 153/108

GOES satellite data for 04 Jun
       Daily Proton Fluence >1 MeV:   5.9E+05
       Daily Proton Fluence >10 MeV:  5.9E+04
       Daily Electron Fluence >2 MeV: 1.40E+06 (normal)
       X-ray background: C1.0
Fluence (flux accumulation over 24hrs)/ cm2-ster-day.

1B. SOLAR FORECAST
             06 Jun             07 Jun             08 Jun
Activity     Low to moderate    Low to moderate    Low to moderate
Fadeouts     Possible           Possible           Possible
10.7cm/SSN   160/114            160/114            165/119




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2A. MAGNETIC SUMMARY
Geomagnetic field for Australian Region 05 Jun: Quiet 

Estimated Indices 05 Jun :  A   K           
   Australian Region       3   2211 0012
      Darwin               3   2211 0023
      Townsville           1   1200 0012
      Learmonth            6   2222 1223
      Canberra             2   2201 0001
      Hobart               1   1201 0001
    
Observed Regional daily pc3 Indices 05 JUN : 
      Darwin               0   (Quiet)
      Townsville          NA
      Learmonth            0   (Quiet)
      Canberra             8   (Quiet)
      Hobart               9   (Quiet)
Pc3 pulsations are high frequency (10-45 second period) variations 
of the Earths magnetic field. Daily pc3 indices are the daily sum 
of 20 minute pc3 indices for that station.

Estimated AFr/Ap Indices 05 Jun : A 
           Fredericksburg         8
           Planetary              8                         

Observed AFr/Ap Indices 04 Jun :  A   K
           Fredericksburg         4
           Planetary             11   4122 3333     


2B. MAGNETIC FORECAST 
Date      Ap    Conditions
06 Jun    10    Quiet to unsettled 
07 Jun    15    Mostly quiet to unsettled with possible active 
                periods. 
08 Jun    15    Mostly quiet to unsettled with possible active 
                periods. 
COMMENT: Geomagnetic activity may increase slightly for June 7-8 
due to a geoeffectively positioned coronal hole. 
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3A. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION SUMMARY
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
05 Jun      Normal         Normal         Normal-fair    
PCA Event : No event.

3B. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION FORECAST
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
06 Jun      Normal         Normal         Normal-Fair
07 Jun      Normal         Normal         Normal-Fair
08 Jun      Normal         Normal         Normal-Fair

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4A. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC SUMMARY
Date   T index
05 Jun   114

Observed Australian Regional MUFs
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
   Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Enhanced by 30% over the UT day.


Predicted Monthly T index for June: 118

4B. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC FORECAST
Date   T index  MUFs
06 Jun   120    Near predicted monthly values 
07 Jun   120    Near predicted monthly values 
08 Jun   120    Near predicted monthly values 


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