[Ips-dsgr] IPS Daily Report - 03 June 01

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SUBJ: IPS DAILY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT
ISSUED AT 03/2330Z JUNE 2001 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
SUMMARY FOR 03 JUNE AND FORECAST FOR 04 JUNE - 06 JUNE
STATUS INDICATORS SOL:GREEN   MAG:GREEN     ION: GREEN
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1A. SOLAR SUMMARY
Activity 03 Jun:  Low

Flares: none.

Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number for 03 Jun: 145/99

GOES satellite data for 02 Jun
       Daily Proton Fluence >1 MeV:   8.0E+05
       Daily Proton Fluence >10 MeV:  3.6E+04
       Daily Electron Fluence >2 MeV: 2.80E+05 (normal)
       X-ray background: B7.9
Fluence (flux accumulation over 24hrs)/ cm2-ster-day.

1B. SOLAR FORECAST
             04 Jun             05 Jun             06 Jun
Activity     Low                Low                Low
Fadeouts     None expected      None expected      None expected
10.7cm/SSN   150/105            155/109            155/109




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2A. MAGNETIC SUMMARY
Geomagnetic field for Australian Region 03 Jun: Quiet 

Estimated Indices 03 Jun :  A   K           
   Australian Region       3   2221 0012
      Darwin               3   2221 0012
      Townsville           1   1110 0012
      Learmonth            7   2222 2222
      Canberra             3   2220 0012
      Hobart               3   2220 0012
    
Observed Regional daily pc3 Indices 03 JUN : 
      Darwin              16   (Quiet)
      Townsville          NA
      Learmonth            0   (Quiet)
      Canberra            50   (Unsettled)
      Hobart              58   (Unsettled)
Pc3 pulsations are high frequency (10-45 second period) variations 
of the Earths magnetic field. Daily pc3 indices are the daily sum 
of 20 minute pc3 indices for that station.

Estimated AFr/Ap Indices 03 Jun : A 
           Fredericksburg         8
           Planetary             10                         

Observed AFr/Ap Indices 02 Jun :  A   K
           Fredericksburg        18
           Planetary             21   5433 4333     


2B. MAGNETIC FORECAST 
Date      Ap    Conditions
04 Jun    12    Quiet to unsettled 
05 Jun    10    Quiet to unsettled 
06 Jun     8    Quiet to unsettled 
COMMENT: Coronal hole activity appears to be abating. 
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3A. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION SUMMARY
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
03 Jun      Normal         Normal         Normal-fair    
PCA Event : No event.

3B. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION FORECAST
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
04 Jun      Normal         Normal         Normal-Fair
05 Jun      Normal         Normal         Normal-Fair
06 Jun      Normal         Normal         Normal-Fair

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4A. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC SUMMARY
Date   T index
03 Jun   137

Observed Australian Regional MUFs
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      otherwise enhanced greater than 20%.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Depressed by 20% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day,
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.


Predicted Monthly T index for June: 113

4B. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC FORECAST
Date   T index  MUFs
04 Jun   115    Near predicted monthly values 
05 Jun   115    Near predicted monthly values 
06 Jun   120    Near predicted monthly values 


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