[Ips-dsgr] IPS Daily Report - 01 June 01

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS DAILY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT
ISSUED AT 01/2330Z JUNE 2001 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
SUMMARY FOR 01 JUNE AND FORECAST FOR 02 JUNE - 04 JUNE
STATUS INDICATORS SOL:GREEN   MAG:GREEN     ION: GREEN
-----------------------------------------------------------
1A. SOLAR SUMMARY
Activity 01 Jun:  Low

Flares: none.

Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number for 01 Jun: 133/87

GOES satellite data for 31 May
       Daily Proton Fluence >1 MeV:   8.6E+04
       Daily Proton Fluence >10 MeV:  1.2E+04
       Daily Electron Fluence >2 MeV: 4.30E+06 (normal)
       X-ray background: B4.9
Fluence (flux accumulation over 24hrs)/ cm2-ster-day.

1B. SOLAR FORECAST
             02 Jun             03 Jun             04 Jun
Activity     Low                Low                Low
Fadeouts     None expected      None expected      None expected
10.7cm/SSN   130/84             125/78             125/78




-----------------------------------------------------------
2A. MAGNETIC SUMMARY
Geomagnetic field for Australian Region 01 Jun: Quiet 

Estimated Indices 01 Jun :  A   K           
   Australian Region       4   1012 2123
      Darwin               4   0012 2223
      Townsville           2   1101 1112
      Learmonth            5   1122 2223
      Canberra             3   1002 2123
      Hobart               2   0002 2112
    
Observed Regional daily pc3 Indices 01 JUN : 
      Darwin               0   (Quiet)
      Townsville          64   (Active)
      Learmonth            0   (Quiet)
      Canberra             0   (Quiet)
      Hobart               2   (Quiet)
Pc3 pulsations are high frequency (10-45 second period) variations 
of the Earths magnetic field. Daily pc3 indices are the daily sum 
of 20 minute pc3 indices for that station.

Estimated AFr/Ap Indices 01 Jun : A 
           Fredericksburg         8
           Planetary              8                         

Observed AFr/Ap Indices 31 May :  A   K
           Fredericksburg         4
           Planetary              7   1001 3322     


2B. MAGNETIC FORECAST 
Date      Ap    Conditions
02 Jun    15    Mostly quiet to unsettled with possible active 
                periods. 
03 Jun    15    Mostly quiet to unsettled with possible active 
                periods. 
04 Jun    12    Quiet to unsettled 
COMMENT: Active levels of geomagnetic activity are possible over 
the next couple of days due to a high speed coronal hole solar 
wind stream. 
-----------------------------------------------------------
3A. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION SUMMARY
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
01 Jun      Normal         Normal         Normal         
PCA Event : No event.

3B. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION FORECAST
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
02 Jun      Normal         Normal         Normal-Fair
03 Jun      Normal         Normal         Normal-Fair
04 Jun      Normal         Normal         Normal-Fair

-----------------------------------------------------------
4A. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC SUMMARY
Date   T index
01 Jun   117

Observed Australian Regional MUFs
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Enhanced by 30% over the UT day.


Predicted Monthly T index for June: 113

4B. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC FORECAST
Date   T index  MUFs
02 Jun   115    Near predicted monthly values 
03 Jun   115    Near predicted monthly values 
04 Jun   115    Near predicted monthly values 


IPS Radio and Space Services      | email: asfc at ips.gov.au
PO Box 1386                       | WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au/asfc
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA     | FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au/users/asfc/ 
tel: +61 2 9213 8010              | fax: +61 2 9213 8060