[Ips-dsgr] IPS Daily Report - 02 July 01

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SUBJ: IPS DAILY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT
ISSUED AT 02/2330Z JULY 2001 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
SUMMARY FOR 02 JULY AND FORECAST FOR 03 JULY - 05 JULY
STATUS INDICATORS SOL:GREEN   MAG:*YELLOW*  ION: GREEN
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1A. SOLAR SUMMARY
Activity 02 Jul:  Very low

Flares: none.

Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number for 02 Jul: 134/88

GOES satellite data for 01 Jul
       Daily Proton Fluence >1 MeV:   3.9E+04
       Daily Proton Fluence >10 MeV:  1.1E+04
       Daily Electron Fluence >2 MeV: 2.00E+06 (normal)
       X-ray background: B3.8
Fluence (flux accumulation over 24hrs)/ cm2-ster-day.

1B. SOLAR FORECAST
             03 Jul             04 Jul             05 Jul
Activity     Low                Low                Low
Fadeouts     None expected      None expected      None expected
10.7cm/SSN   135/89             140/94             145/99




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2A. MAGNETIC SUMMARY
Geomagnetic field for Australian Region 02 Jul: Quiet 

Estimated Indices 02 Jul :  A   K           
   Australian Region       2   1111 1012
      Darwin               4   2211 1022
      Townsville           0   0100 0012
      Learmonth           NA 
      Canberra             1   1101 0012
      Hobart               1   1100 1011
    
Observed Regional daily pc3 Indices 02 JUL : 
      Darwin               0   (Quiet)
      Townsville           0   (Quiet)
      Learmonth            0   (Quiet)
      Canberra             0   (Quiet)
      Hobart               2   (Quiet)
Pc3 pulsations are high frequency (10-45 second period) variations 
of the Earths magnetic field. Daily pc3 indices are the daily sum 
of 20 minute pc3 indices for that station.

Estimated AFr/Ap Indices 02 Jul : A 
           Fredericksburg         5
           Planetary              9                         

Observed AFr/Ap Indices 01 Jul :  A   K
           Fredericksburg         8
           Planetary             12   3312 3333     


2B. MAGNETIC FORECAST 
Date      Ap    Conditions
03 Jul    15    Quiet to unsettled, with the chance of active 
                periods. 
04 Jul    12    Quiet to unsettled, with the chance of active 
                periods. 
05 Jul    10    Quiet to unsettled 
COMMENT: A high speed coronal hole solar wind stream is expected 
to arrive at the Earth between 2-4 July and produce slightly 
increased levels of geomagnetic activity. 
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3A. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION SUMMARY
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
02 Jul      Normal         Normal         Normal         
PCA Event : No event.

3B. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION FORECAST
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
03 Jul      Normal         Normal         Normal-Fair
04 Jul      Normal         Normal         Normal-Fair
05 Jul      Normal         Normal         Normal-Fair

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4A. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC SUMMARY
Date   T index
02 Jul   135

Observed Australian Regional MUFs
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced greater than 30% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 25% during local day,
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Enhanced by 30% over the UT day.


Predicted Monthly T index for July: 115

4B. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC FORECAST
Date   T index  MUFs
03 Jul   125    Near predicted monthly values 
04 Jul   125    Near predicted monthly values 
05 Jul   125    Near predicted monthly values 


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