[Ips-dsgr] IPS Daily Report - 30 June 01

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SUBJ: IPS DAILY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT
ISSUED AT 30/2330Z JUNE 2001 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
SUMMARY FOR 30 JUNE AND FORECAST FOR 01 JULY - 03 JULY
STATUS INDICATORS SOL:GREEN   MAG:GREEN     ION: GREEN
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1A. SOLAR SUMMARY
Activity 30 Jun:  Very low

Flares: none.

Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number for 30 Jun: 137/91

GOES satellite data for 29 Jun
       Daily Proton Fluence >1 MeV:   2.5E+05
       Daily Proton Fluence >10 MeV:  1.1E+04
       Daily Electron Fluence >2 MeV: 2.40E+07 (normal)
       X-ray background: B4.0
Fluence (flux accumulation over 24hrs)/ cm2-ster-day.

1B. SOLAR FORECAST
             01 Jul             02 Jul             03 Jul
Activity     Low                Low                Low
Fadeouts     None expected      None expected      None expected
10.7cm/SSN   135/89             140/94             145/99




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2A. MAGNETIC SUMMARY
Geomagnetic field for Australian Region 30 Jun: Quiet 

Estimated Indices 30 Jun :  A   K           
   Australian Region       4   1112 2122
      Darwin               5   2212 2122
      Townsville           2   0111 1022
      Learmonth           NA 
      Canberra             3   0012 2022
      Hobart               5   1102 3022
    
Observed Regional daily pc3 Indices 30 JUN : 
      Darwin               0   (Quiet)
      Townsville           0   (Quiet)
      Learmonth            0   (Quiet)
      Canberra             0   (Quiet)
      Hobart               4   (Quiet)
Pc3 pulsations are high frequency (10-45 second period) variations 
of the Earths magnetic field. Daily pc3 indices are the daily sum 
of 20 minute pc3 indices for that station.

Estimated AFr/Ap Indices 30 Jun : A 
           Fredericksburg        10
           Planetary             10                         

Observed AFr/Ap Indices 29 Jun :  A   K
           Fredericksburg         2
           Planetary              7   1112 2323     


2B. MAGNETIC FORECAST 
Date      Ap    Conditions
01 Jul     8    Quiet to Unsettled 
02 Jul    12    Quiet to unsettled, with the chance of active 
                periods. 
03 Jul    15    Quiet to unsettled, with the chance of active 
                periods. 
COMMENT: A high speed coronal hole solar wind stream is expected 
to arrive at the Earth between 2-4 June and produce slightly 
increased levels of geomagnetic activity. 
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3A. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION SUMMARY
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
30 Jun      Normal         Normal         Normal         
PCA Event : No event.

3B. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION FORECAST
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
01 Jul      Normal         Normal         Normal-Fair
02 Jul      Normal         Normal         Normal-Fair
03 Jul      Normal         Normal         Normal-Fair

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4A. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC SUMMARY
Date   T index
30 Jun   127

Observed Australian Regional MUFs
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      No data.
   Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Enhanced greater than 30%.


Predicted Monthly T index for June: 118

4B. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC FORECAST
Date   T index  MUFs
01 Jul   125    near predicted monthly values 
02 Jul   125    Near predicted monthly values 
03 Jul   125    Near predicted monthly values 


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