[Ips-dsgr] IPS Daily Report - 09 January 01

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SUBJ: IPS DAILY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT
ISSUED AT 09/2330Z JANUARY 2001 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
SUMMARY FOR 09 JANUARY AND FORECAST FOR 10 JANUARY - 12 JANUARY
STATUS INDICATORS SOL:GREEN   MAG:GREEN     ION: GREEN
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1A. SOLAR SUMMARY
Activity 09 Jan:  Moderate

Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
 M1/1N    0650UT  possible   lower  Mid East/Indian

Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number for 09 Jan: 166/120

GOES satellite data for 08 Jan
       Daily Proton Fluence >1 MeV:   2.3E+05
       Daily Proton Fluence >10 MeV:  1.1E+04
       Daily Electron Fluence >2 MeV: 3.00E+05 (normal)
       X-ray background: B7.4
Fluence (flux accumulation over 24hrs)/ cm2-ster-day.

1B. SOLAR FORECAST
             10 Jan             11 Jan             12 Jan
Activity     Low to moderate    Low to moderate    Low to moderate
Fadeouts     Possible           Possible           Possible
10.7cm/SSN   175/129            180/133            185/138


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2A. MAGNETIC SUMMARY
Geomagnetic field for Australian Region 09 Jan: Quiet 

Estimated Indices 09 Jan :  A   K           
   Australian Region        5   2122 2122
      Darwin                5   2112 2123
      Townsville            4   2112 2112
      Learmonth             7   3122 2123
      Canberra              5   2122 2122
      Hobart                5   2122 2112
    
Observed Regional daily pc3 Indices 09 JAN : 
      Darwin                0   (Quiet)
      Townsville            0   (Quiet)
      Learmonth             0   (Quiet)
      Canberra             12   (Quiet)
      Hobart               12   (Quiet)
Pc3 pulsations are high frequency (10-45 second period) variations 
of the Earths magnetic field. Daily pc3 indices are the daily sum 
of 20 minute pc3 indices for that station.

Estimated AFr/Ap Indices 09 Jan : A 
           Fredericksburg         5
           Planetary              7                         

Observed AFr/Ap Indices 08 Jan :  A   K
           Fredericksburg         8
           Planetary             10   2211 2233     


2B. MAGNETIC FORECAST 
Date      Ap    Conditions
10 Jan     4    Quiet 
11 Jan     3    Quiet 
12 Jan     4    Quiet 

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3A. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION SUMMARY
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
09 Jan      Normal         Normal         Fair-normal    
PCA Event : No event.

3B. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION FORECAST
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
10 Jan      Normal         Normal         Normal        
11 Jan      Normal         Normal         Normal        
12 Jan      Normal         Normal         Normal        

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4A. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC SUMMARY
Date   T index
09 Jan   136

Observed Australian Regional MUFs
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values,
   Northern Australian Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values,
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values,
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.


Predicted Monthly T index for January: 117

4B. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC FORECAST
Date   T index  MUFs
10 Jan   140    Near predicted monthly values 
11 Jan   140    Near predicted monthly values 
12 Jan   140    Near predicted monthly values 


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