[Ips-dsgr] IPS Daily Report - 15 December 00

rwc rwc at ips.gov.au
Sat Dec 16 10:31:34 EST 2000


SUBJ: IPS DAILY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT
ISSUED AT 15/2330Z DECEMBER 2000 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
SUMMARY FOR 15 DECEMBER AND FORECAST FOR 16 DECEMBER - 18 DECEMBER
STATUS INDICATORS SOL:GREEN   MAG:GREEN     ION: GREEN
-----------------------------------------------------------
1A. SOLAR SUMMARY
Activity 15 Dec:  Low

Flares: none.

Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number for 15 Dec: 188/141

GOES satellite data for 14 Dec
       Daily Proton Fluence >1 MeV:   5.2E+05
       Daily Proton Fluence >10 MeV:  1.0E+04
       Daily Electron Fluence >2 MeV: 1.10E+08 (moderate)
       X-ray background: B6.2
Fluence (flux accumulation over 24hrs)/ cm2-ster-day.

1B. SOLAR FORECAST
             16 Dec             17 Dec             18 Dec
Activity     Low                Low                Low
Fadeouts     None expected      None expected      None expected
10.7cm/SSN   190/143            190/143            195/147

-----------------------------------------------------------
2A. MAGNETIC SUMMARY
Geomagnetic field for Australian Region 15 Dec: Quiet 

Estimated Indices 15 Dec :  A   K           
   Australian Region        3   2111 1112
      Darwin                2   1101 1112
      Townsville            2   ---2 0011
      Learmonth             2   2011 1102
      Canberra              2   1011 1113
      Hobart                3   2111 1012
    
Observed Regional daily pc3 Indices 15 DEC : 
      Darwin                0   (Quiet)
      Townsville            2   (Quiet)
      Learmonth             0   (Quiet)
      Canberra              0   (Quiet)
      Hobart                0   (Quiet)
Pc3 pulsations are high frequency (10-45 second period) variations 
of the Earths magnetic field. Daily pc3 indices are the daily sum 
of 20 minute pc3 indices for that station.

Estimated AFr/Ap Indices 15 Dec : A 
           Fredericksburg         3
           Planetary              6                         

Observed AFr/Ap Indices 14 Dec :  A   K
           Fredericksburg         2
           Planetary              4   1001 2222     

2B. MAGNETIC FORECAST 
Date      Ap    Conditions
16 Dec     7    Quiet 
17 Dec     7    Quiet 
18 Dec     7    Quiet 

-----------------------------------------------------------
3A. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION SUMMARY
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
15 Dec      Normal         Normal         Normal         
PCA Event : No event.

3B. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION FORECAST
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
16 Dec      Normal         Normal         Normal
17 Dec      Normal         Normal         Normal
18 Dec      Normal         Normal         Normal

-----------------------------------------------------------
4A. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC SUMMARY
Date   T index
15 Dec   148

Observed Australian Regional MUFs
near predicted monthly values

Predicted Monthly T index for December: 130

4B. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC FORECAST
Date   T index  MUFs
16 Dec   140    near predicted monthly values 
17 Dec   140    near predicted monthly values 
18 Dec   140    near predicted monthly values 

IPS Radio and Space Services      | email: asfc at ips.gov.au
PO Box 1386                       | WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au/asfc
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA     | FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au/users/asfc/ 
tel: +61 2 9213 8010              | fax: +61 2 9213 8060 




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