[Ips-dhfpr] ASWFC Daily HF Prop Report - 01 March 24 issued 2330 UT on 01 Mar 2024 [SEC=OFFICIAL]

Regional Warning Centre rwc at ips.gov.au
Sat Mar 2 10:30:13 EST 2024


SUBJ: ASWFC DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/01 MARCH 2024
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE WEATHER FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (01 MARCH) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
01 Mar   122    Normal         

Flares: none.

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Enhanced by 35% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

PCA Event : No event.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Feb      138
Mar      111
Apr      112


2. FORECAST (02 MARCH - 04 MARCH)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
02 Mar   115    Normal-fair      Near predicted monthly values
03 Mar    90    Fair-normal      Depressed 10 to 15%/near predicted 
                                 monthly values    
04 Mar    90    Normal           Depressed 10 to 15%/near predicted 
                                 monthly values   

COMMENT: ASWFC SWF HF Communications Warning 24 was issued on 
29 February and is current for 1-3 Mar. Maximum usable frequencies 
(MUFs) on UT day 01-Mar were near predicted monthly values. MUFs 
are generally expected to be near predicted monthly values over 
02-04 Mar. There is a chance for mild 15% depressions after local 
dawn in the southern Australian region over 03-04 Mar if the 
mild increase in geomagnetic activity forecast for 02-Mar eventuates. 
Isolated minor shortwave fadeouts are possible.

----------------------------------------------------------
For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
https://www.sws.bom.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre
Bureau of Meteorology
ASWFC at bom.gov.au
www.bom.gov.au | www.sws.bom.gov.au



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