[Ips-dhfpr] ASWFC Daily HF Prop Report - 29 September 23 issued 2331 UT on 29 Sep 2023 [SEC=OFFICIAL]

Regional Warning Centre rwc at ips.gov.au
Sat Sep 30 09:31:19 EST 2023


SUBJ: ASWFC DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/29 SEPTEMBER 2023
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE WEATHER FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (29 SEPTEMBER) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
29 Sep   126    Normal         

Flares: none.

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 20% during local day.
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
      Enhanced by 20% after local dawn.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

PCA Event : No event.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Aug      115
Sep      96
Oct      93


2. FORECAST (30 SEPTEMBER - 02 OCTOBER)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
30 Sep   120    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values
01 Oct   120    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values    
02 Oct   120    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values   

COMMENT: Maximum usable frequencies (MUFs) in the Australian 
region on UT day 29-Sep were mostly near predicted monthly values 
to 25% enhanced. Minor spread-F was observed at Hobart during 
local night hours. MUFs are expected to be near predicted monthly 
values to 15% enhanced over 30 Sep to 2-Oct. Isolated minor shortwave 
fadeouts are possible.

----------------------------------------------------------
For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
https://www.sws.bom.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre
Bureau of Meteorology
ASWFC at bom.gov.au
www.bom.gov.au | www.sws.bom.gov.au



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